4.22.24 Hello Traders,
On 4.16.24 I made the following trade:

Sell XLP 5.10.24 75 Calls@ .29
Buy XLP 5.10.24 76 Calls@ .13

The price of XLP has reversed and climb above $75.
I have repurchased the 75 Calls I originally sold for what I believe is a temporary loss. I still own the 76 Calls. If the price of XLP continues to rise, the 76 Calls will increase in value. A good profit is still probable. I will keep you informed.

4.16.24 Hello Traders,
Today my trade was on XLP, the ETF that trades
consumer staples. Price is declining. The trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell XLP 5.10.24 75 Calls@ .26
Buy XLP 5.10.24 76 Calls@ .13

Credit .16
Profit 19%
Risk per Spread $84
Probability of Success 77%

The next low price for XLP is calculated to be on 5.17.24.

4.15.24 Hello Traders,

Today I placed a trade on XLB, the ETF that trades the materials
sector stocks. XLB made a low on 2.5.24 at $80.98. From there price advanced to $93.06 on 4.9.24. The up trend has ended and XLB is declining in price.
My trade was a Bear Call Spread as follows:

Sell XLB 4.26.24 92 Calls@ .32
Buy XLB 4.26.24 93 Calls@ .17

Credit .15
Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 79%
Risk per Spread $85

I calculate that XLB will continue to fall in price until 6.10.24.

4.12.24 Good morning Traders,
My trade today was on WOOD, the ETF that trades
timber. Wood made a low on 2.13.24 at $74.44 and a high on 3.27.24 at $84.82. My calculations expect the next low to be on 5.21.24.
My trade is as follows:

Sell WOOD 4.19.24 83 Calls@.35
Buy WOOD 4.19.24 84 Calls@ .20

Credit .15
Profit 17.6%
Risk per Spread $85
Probability of Success 73%

Earning 17.6% in one week is equivalent to
earning 918% in a full year. After the options expire on
4.19.24, the money can be redeployed on another trade.

4.10.24 Hello Traders,
Inflation in March was 3.5%. The market did not respond well to this increase in expected inflation. The Federal Reserve will not lower interest rates
while inflation is rising. The result is: higher business loan rates, less business expansion, and likely slower growth. With out of control government spending
and the debt rising by one trillion dollars every three months, inflation will continue to be a real problem.
The Dow Jones Industrials dropped by 460 points today.
My trade today was a Bear Call Spread as follows:

Sell DIA 4.26.24 394 Calls@ .82
Buy DIA $.26.24 395 Calls@ .67

Credit .15
Profit 17.6%
Risk per Spread $ 85
Probabitiy of Success 83%

4.4.24 Good morning Traders,
Today I closed two trades. The UNG trade placed on 3.4.24
was closed for a -7.7% loss. The GDX trade originally placed on
3.20.24 was closed for a +72.6% gain.
Soon I will send you a score card detailing the results of the
most recent trades.

4.1.24 Good morning Traders,
The following is an update on my 3.7.24 trade on IYR, the ETF that trades real estate stocks. On On 3.7.24 I made the following trade:

Sell IYR 4.5.24 86 Puts@ .73
Buy IYR 4.5.24 85 Puts@ .55

Credit .18 or $18
Profit 22%
IYR today is showing weakness by dropping $1.35 or 1.50% to $88.55.
I terminated the trade by buying back the IYR 4.5.24 86 put at .07 and selling the IYR 4.5.24 85 Put at .03. This left me with a profit of $14 dollars for each credit spread purchased. Since each credit spread required that I risk $82, $100- $18 dollars for each credit spread, the math worked out as follows: $14/$82 = 17% profit. The 17% was earned in 25 days. This is equivalent to earning 248% in a year.

3.28.24 Good morning Traders,
The GDX gold trade made on 3.20.24 has moved against me with the price of GDX rising .52 or 1.48%. I have bought back the GDX 4.12.24 31 Call I originally sold, for $1.13; and I am holding the GDX 4.12.24 32 Call I originally purchased. If GDX continues to rise in price, then the price
of the GDX 32 Call will increase price. This will wipe out the
current .17 loss and likely result in a profit. I will keep you
posted.

3.20.24 Hello Traders,
Today’s trade is on GDX, the ETF that trades Gold stocks.
GDX made a high at $31.98 on 12.27.23. This was followed by a low of $25.78 on 2.28.24. The next high was on 3.13.24 was at $30.29.
My calculations indicate that the next low will be made on 4.16.24
The trade is a Bear Call Spread as follows:

Sell GDX 4.12.24 31 Calls@ .34
Buy GDX 4.12.24 32 Calls@ .18

Credit .16
Profit 19%
Risk per Spread $84
Probability of Success 76%

3.12.24 Good morning Traders,
Today I have a trade on TLT, the ETF that trades
the 20 Year Treasury Bond. TLT has been trending down
in price since 12.27.23. The most recent high was on 3.6.24
at $95.99. The preceding low was at $92.18 on 2.21.24.
I calculate that the next low will occur on 3.25.24.
The trade is a Bear Call Spread as follows:

Sell TLT 3.28.24 97 Calls@ .38
Buy TLT 3.28.24 98 calls@ .20

Credit .18
Profit 22%
Risk per Spread $82
Probability of Success 81%

3.7.24 Good morning Traders,
Today I have a trade on IYR, the ETF that trades real estate stocks. IYR made a high on 12.28.23 at $92.46. This was followed by a low of $85.32 on 2.13.23. Since the low, price has been trending up and is holding above key support levels.
The trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell IYR 4.5.24 86 puts@ .73
Buy IYR 4.5.24 85 puts@ .55

Credit .18
Profit 22%
Risk per Spread $82
Probability of Success 76.8%

I calculate that IYR will continue to rise in price until 4.24.24.

3.4.24 Hello Traders,
Today I have a trade on Natural Gas. UNG is the
ETF that trades natural gas stocks.
UNG made a high at $31.60 on 10.10.23. This was followed by a long decline to $14.77 on 2.20.24., a fall of 54%.
Today price has jumped $1.02 or 6.12% and is holding above resistance.
The trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell UNG 4.5.24 15.50 Puts@ .43
BUY UNG 4.5.24 14.50 Puts@ .21

Credit .22
Profit 28.2%
Risk per Spread $78
Probability of Success 76.6%
I calculate that UNG will rise in price until 4.8.24.

3.1.24 Hello Traders,
Today I have a trade on GDX, the ETF that trades gold
stocks. GDX made a high on 12.27.23 at $31.98. This was foll-
owed by a long decline ending on 2.28.24 at $25.78. This morn-
ing GDX rallied 3.13%, and is staying above key, overhead resis-
tance lines. My calculations show that price will continue to rise
until 3.27.24.

The trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell GDX 3.28.24 26 puts@ .38
Buy GDX 3.28.24 25 puts@ .18
Credit .20
Profit 25%
Risk per Spread $80
Probability of Success 74%

2.8.24 Today we have adjustments to make on the last two trades.
The trades and adjustments are as follows:

2.1.24 Sell GDX 2.23.24 27.50 puts@ .28
Buy GDX 2.23.24 26.50 puts@ .11

Buy back the 27.50 puts and hold
on to the 26.50 puts you bought. The price
of GDX in headed down.

1.31.24 Sell TLT 2.23.24 94 puts@ .52
Buy TLT 2.23.24 93 puts@ .33

Buy back the 94 puts and hold on to the
93 puts you own. The price of TLT is falling.

2.1.24 Good morning Traders,
Today we have a trade on gold. GDX is the ETF that trades gold stocks. GDX made an intermediate low
at $27.51 on 1.17.24. From that date, GDX made a bottom and has started to rise in price. Today GDX rose
.88 or 3.15%. My calculations show that GDX will continue to rise until. 2.26.24.
The trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell GDX 2.23.24 27.5 puts@ .28
Buy GDX 2.23.24 26.5 puts@ .11
Credit .17
Profit 20.5%
Risk per Spread $83

1.31.24 Good morning Traders,
Today we have a trade on TLT, the ETF that trades the 20 year U.S. Bond.TlT is moving up in price. I calculate that TLT will continue to rise until 3.12.24.
The trade is as follows:
Sell TLT 2.23.34 94 puts@ .52
Buy TLT 2.23.24 93 puts@ .33

Credit .19
Profit 23.5%
Risk per Spread $81

12.14.23 Hello Traders,
Today I have a trade on WOOD, the ETF that trades timber. WOOD made a low on 10.27.23 at $70.04. Yesterday on 12.13.23
price exploded to the upside and is now trading above resistance at $79.68.The price of WOOD is calculated to continue to rise until 3.29.24.

The trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell WOOD 1.19.24 77 Puts@ .62
Buy WOOD 1.19.24 76 Puts@ .47

Credit .15
Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 87%
Risk per Spread $85

12.6.23 Hello Traders,
Near the closing bell I placed a trade on SMH,
the ETF that trades semiconductor stocks. SMH started from
a low of $137.46 on 10.26.23 and moved up to a high of $164.90 on 11.20.23. Price has been trading below key support levels; and has headed down today with strength.
The trade is a directional trade. I calculate that SMH will
continue down until 12.20.23. The trade is as follows:

Buy SMH 1.19.24 157.50 Puts@ 4.75

12.6.23 Hello Traders,
Today I sold the remaining BITO 12.15.23 20Calls@ 2.00.
This resulted in a 25.6% profit for the BITO credit spread
originally placed on 11.2.23. Unwinding the BITO credit spread resulted in a winning trade.

12.5.23 Good morning Traders,
Today I made a trade on FXE, the ETF that trades the Eurodollar. FXE made a low of $96.22 on 10.2 23 followed
by a high of $101.56 on 11.28.23. The price has been falling for the past few days. I calculate that the next low will be made on 1.30.24.
The trade is a s follows:

Buy FXE 1.19.24 100Puts @ 1.10

12.4.23 Good morning Traders,
On 11.2.23 I made a trade on BITO, the ETF that trades Bitcoin a follows:

Sell BITO 12.15.23 19 Calls@ .77
Buy BITO 12.15.23 20 Calls@ .59
Credit .18

Today the price of BITO has spiked up $1.36 or 7.06%.
As a result, I have purchased the BITO 12.15.23 19 calls I sold. The trade is a temporary loss. If BITO continues its move up, there is a good chance that a profit will result. I will hold on to the BITO 12.15.23 20 calls I bought on 11.2.23. I will keep you informed.

12.1.23 Good morning Traders,
Today I have a trade on XLC, the ETF that trades
communication services sector stocks. XLC rose from a low of $63.09 on10.27.23 to a high of $71/20 on 11.22.23. Price has started down.The next low I have calculated to be on 12.24.23- 12.26.23.
The trade is as follows:

Buy XLC 1.19.23 70 Puts@ 1.77

11.30.23 Today I sold the UUP 1.19.23 29 puts@ 1.16;
they were purchased on 11.24.23 at 1.07.
The profit was 8.4% in 6 days.

11.29.23 Good morning Traders,
Today I have some repair work to do on the DBA trade that was made on 11.24.23. The original trade was:
Buy DBA 1.19.24 22Puts@ .91

The price of DBA has reversed to the upside
for the past two days. I have sold the DBA 22 Put at .75 and purchased:
DBA 1.19.24 22Calls@ .31
DBA is calculated to rise in price until 12.20.23.

11.27.23 The trade today is on SOYB, the ETF that trades soybeans.SOYB made a low on 10.11.23 at $26.64
followed by a high at $28.91 on 11.14.23. Price
has started down. My calculations indicate that the
next low will be on 12.6.23+/- 2 days.
The trade is as follows:

Buy SOYB 1.19.24 28puts@ .85

11.24.23 Happy Holiday !!
DBA is the ETF that trades commodities.
DBA started from a low of $21.32 on 10.4.23 and
made a high of $22.46 at 11.6.23. Price has begun
to fall. I calculate that the price of DBA will continue
to drop until. 12.7.23.

The trade is as follows:

Buy DBA 1.19.24 22 puts@ .90

11.17.23 Good morning Traders,
UUP is the ETF that trades the U.S. dollar.
On 7.13.23 made a low of $27.57 that was followed by a long up trend campaign ending at a high of $30.04 on 11.1.23. The price of
UUP has started down and is trading below key support levels.
My calculations show that the low in price will be made on 12.14.23 +/- 2 days.
The trade is as follows:

Buy UUP 1.19.24 29 puts@ 1.07

11.5.23 Hello Traders,
Below is the follow up for the MOO trade placed
on 10.10.23. The data is as follows:

10.10.23 Sell MOO 11.17.23 76 Puts@ .87
Buy MOO 11.17.23 75 Puts@ .67

Credit .20

10.20.23 The price of MOO fell below 76. I bought back the MOO 76
puts at 2.52 for a temporary loss:
.87 to – 2.52 = – 1.65
10.24.23 I sold the MOO 75 puts I had purchased on 10.10.23:
.67 to + 2.45 = + 1.78

1.78 – 1.65 = + .13

.13 + the original .20 credit = + .33 profit

Cost basis = 76-75 = 1.00
1.00 – .20 credit = .80
.80 is the original cost basis of the trade on 10.10.23

.33/.80 = + 41.3 % Profit

The key to turning a losing trade into a winning
trade was the unwinding the trade on 10.20.23 by buying back
the MOO 76 options I sold on 10.10.23 and then holding the MOO
75 options I bought on 10.10.23, until they showed a profit.
Credit spreads are unique because about half the time you can take a losing trade and turn it into a winner !!

11.1.23 Hello Traders,
BITO is the ETF that trades Bitcoin stocks.
BITO made a high price on 10.25.23. The price is expected to fall until 12.20. 23.
The trade is as follows:

Sell BITO 12.15.23 19 Calls@ .78
Buy BITO 12.15.23 20 Calls@ .62

Credit .19
Profit 23.5%
Risk per spread $81.

10.20.23 Good morning Traders,

The 10.10.23 MOO trade went against me.
The original trade looked like this:

Sell MOO 11.17.23 76 puts@ .87
Buy MOO 11.17.23 75 puts@ .67

Profit .20 or $20
The price of MOO has fallen to $74.28.
I have repurchased the MOO 11.17.23 76 puts
at $2.52. I am holding on to the MOO 11.17.23 75
puts that I originally purchased.
If MOO continues to fall in price, than the MOO 75 puts will rise in price. This will wipe out any loss and will likely result in a profit. The MOO 75 puts are trading at 1.93. The
breakeven point is 2.32.
I will keep you informed.

10.10.23 Hello Traders,

Today I have a trade on MOO, the ETF that trades milk. The last high on MOO was on 7.26.23 at $87.66. This was followed by a low on 10.5.23 at $75.86. The next high price I calculate
will be on 11.3.23. The up move is in progress.

The trade is as follows:
Sell MOO 11.17.23 76 Puts@ .87
Buy MOO 11.17.23 75 Puts@ .67

Credit .20
Profit 25%
Risk per Spread $80
Probability of Success 70.5%

8.30.23 Hello Traders,
The Russell 2000 Index is a small cap U.S
U.S. stock market that trades 2000 of the smallest stocks in the Russell 3000. The symbol is IWM.IWM made a bottom on 8.24.23. Price has been rising above key support levels.
My calculations show that IWM should rise in price until 10.12.23.

The trade is as follows:
Buy IWM 10.20.23 188 Calls@ 5.66.

8.29.23 Good morning Traders,
The market is moving today !!

IYM is the ETF that trades basic materials.
IYM made a bottom on 8.24.23. Today IYM
made a strong up move of $1.85 or 1.41%.
I have calculated that the uptrend will last
until 10.12.23.
The trade is as follows:

Buy IYM 10.20.23 132 Calls@ 3.91

8.28.23 Good morning Traders,

WOOD is the ETF that trades lumber.
WOOD made a bottom on 8.18.23, only two days
from my calculated low date.
My calculations indicate that WOOD will
rise in price until 9.25.23.

The trade is as follows:
Buy WOOD 10.20.23 73 Calls@ 2.22

7.17.23 The airline stocks have been rising in price
since March. United Airlines, UAL, made a
top on 6.28.23; its calculated high was 6.27.23.
UAL is showing weakness by trading below
its support level; price is falling. The next low
for UAL is calculated to be on 9.7.23.

The trade is a Bear Call Spread as follows:

Sell UAL 8.18.23 57.50 Calls@ 1.14
Buy UAL 8.18.23 60.00 Calls@ .62

Credit .52
Potential Profit 26.3%
Risk per Spread $198

7.13.23 Correction:

The 8.81% rise in GDX was yesterday, 7.12.23.
Today the price rose another 1%.

7.13.23 Hello Traders,

This morning I have a trade on my favorite
metal- GOLD. GDX is the ETF that trades gold stocks.
GDX made a low on 7.6.23 at $29.07 Today’s move up
is a powerful rise of $2.59 or 8.81% to $32.04.
I calculate that GDX will continue to rise in price
until 8.23.23.
The trade is a Bull put spread as follows:

Sell GDX 8.18.23 30 puts@ .34
Buy GDX 8.18.23 29 puts@ .18

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 79%
Risk per Spread $84

7.6.23 Hello Traders,
We are back in action!!
CORN made a low on 5.17.23 at $22.20, followed by
another low on 7.5.23 at $22.16.
My calculations show that Corn will make it next high on
8.8.23 +/- 2 days.

The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell CORN 7.21.23 22 puts@.39
Buy CORN 7.21.23 21 puts@.17

Credit .22
Potential Profit 28.2%
Probability of Success 67.2%
Risk per Spread $78

6.15.23 Good morning Traders,

Today I have a trade on XLP, the ETF that trades consumer staples stocks. Since August, 2022, XLP has been cycling
up and down like a sine wave or jump rope. This makes XLP easy to trade. The last high was made on 5.1.23 at $77.50. The recent low was made on 5.30.23 at $72.59. I calculate that the next high will be made on 8.11.23 +/- 2 days.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XLP 7.28.23 72.50 puts@ .54
Buy XLP 7.28.23 71.50 puts@ .39

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 74.5%
Risk per Spread $85

6.14.23 Hello Traders,

Today I have a trade on UNG, the ETF that trades natural gas. UNG made a weekly high on 8.19.22 at $32.05.
This high was followed by a great decline in price to $5.98 on 6.2.23.
The drop in price was 81%. UNG has trades sideways until yesterday.
Price this week is up 4.18%.
My trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 7.14.23 6.00 puts@ .25
Buy UNG 7.14.23 5.00 puts@ .06

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 70%
Risk per Spread $81

6.7.23 Hello Traders,
Today we have a trade on XLU, the ETF that trades
utility stocks. People are buying utility stocks because they
provide high dividends that provide quarterly income and
some degree of safety. They are considered a safe haven when the overall market is not producing returns.
XLU made a high on 4.24.23 at $69.97 followed by a low on 5.30.23 at $64.34. Today, XLU is up 1.61% at $66.34. The
rise is above resistance. my calculations show XLU continuing to
rise in price until 8.8.23.
The trade is a Bull put spread as follows:

Sell XLU 7.14.23 64 puts@ .52
Buy XLU 7.14.23 63 puts@ .35

Credit .17 .17= $17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 76.5%
Risk per Spread $83

6.2.23 Good morning Traders,
I have just placed my third trade of the week.
The trade is on XLE, the ETF that trades energy stocks.
On 3.17.23 XLE made a low at $76.97. This was followed by a high on 4.14.23 at $87.23. The next low was made on 5.31.23 at $76.59. Price today has risen 3.07% to $79.92.
I calculate that XLE will rise in price until 6.27.23 +/- 2 days.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XLE 6.30.23 76 Puts@ 1.03
Buy XLE 6.30.23 75 puts@ .82

Credit .21
Potential Profit 26.6%
Probability of Success 75.4%
Risk per Spread $$79

6.1.23 Good morning Traders,
Today I placed a trade on GDX, the ETF
that trades gold stocks. GDX made a beautiful
double top on 4.13.23 at $35.87 and 5.4.23 at
$35.09. This was followed by a decline in price
until 5.30.23 at $30.20. My calculations show
that GDX will continue to rise in price until 6.27.23
+/- 2 days.

The trade is as follows:
Sell GDX 6.30.23 30 puts@ .37
Sell GDX 6.30.23 29 puts@ .22

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%.
Probability of Success 79.6%
Risk per Spread $85

5.30.23 TLT is the ETF that trades the 20 year U.S Bonds.
Since 12/2022 TLT has traded in a range between
$109 and $ 99. Interest rate hikes will cause bond
prices to drop. Fear and market volatility cause in-
vestors to seek bonds for safety. Hence the oscil-
lation of price in a trading range.
The trade is as follows:

Sell TLT 6.30.23 99 puts@ .83
Buy TLT 6.30.23 98 puts@ .63

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 73.4%
Risk per Spread $80

5.23.23 Good morning Traders,

WOOD is the ETF that trades lumber. WOOD
stopped its decline on 3.17.23 at $ 69.45. Between
3.17.23 until today, WOOD has oscillated from $72.98
to $69.51. Today WOOD has broken out to the upside
to $72.80, a rise of .96%
My trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell WOOD 6.16.23 69 puts@ .57
Buy WOOD 6.16.23 68 puts@ .42

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 81.7%
Risk per Spread $85

5.19.23 Hello Traders,
The price of oil is on the rise. During the past
three days the price has risen 5.1%. The bottom
was made on 5.16.23.
My trade is on XLE, the ETF that trades the entire energy sector. The trade is as follows:

Sell XLE 6.2.23 77 puts@ .62
Buy XLE 6.2.23 76 puts@ .45

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 74.5%
Risk per Spread $83

5.2.23 Good afternoon Traders,

Rising interest rates and large bank failures
provide us with great opportunities to make winning trades in the market.
XLU is the ETF that trades utility stocks. Utilities are
much like bonds; they are interest rate sensitive. When interest rates rise, utility stocks and bonds fall in price. XLU made a low on 3.23.23 at $63.70. The next cycle high occurred on 4.24.23
at $69.97. Price has closed below support at $68.96 for the past four days. Today the price fell 1.19%. There is more downside action to come for XLU.
I am taking the opposite side of the market by
placing a Bear Call spread; the trade is at a price very unlikely to be reached by XLU any time soon.
The trade is as follows:

Sell XLU 5.26.23 70.50 Calls@ .38
Buy XLU 5.26.23 71.50 Calls@ .18

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 76%
Risk per Spread $80

4.27.23 Good morning Traders,
Today we have a trade on XLE, the ETF that trades
energy stocks. The price of oil has been in a downtrend since November, 2022.
XLE made a high at $87.23 on 4.14.23 and has been trending down in price ever since.
Today’s trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLE 5.19.23 87 Calls@.68
Buy XLE 5.19.23 88 Calls@.48

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 76%
Risk per Spread $80

4.26.23 Today we have two trades on DIA, the ETF that trades the Dow Jones Industrial Average. DIA made its last low on
3.17.23 at $318.50 The last high was on 4.13.23 @ $340.37
The price action on DIA is weak. A decline in price is calculated to continue until 6.7.23+/- 2 days. The first trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell DIA 5.19.23 341 Calls@ 2.10
Buy DIA 5.19.23 342 Calls@ 1.73

Credit .37
Potential Profit 58.7%
Probability of Success 68.5%
Risk per Spread $63

The second trade is a directional trade on DIA as follows:

Buy DIA 6.2.23 334 Puts@ 5.25

4.25.23 Good morning Traders,
I just sold the XBI 6.2.23 77.50 Call
I purchased on 4.14.23.
The call was purchased at 3.96 and
sold for 5.31. The profit was 34%.

4.24.23
Hello Traders,
Today it is time for another trade on natural gas, symbol UNG. Natural gas made a high on 8.22.23 at $33.79 followed by a long
decline to to $6.41 on 4.6.23. A bottom was again made at $6.41 on 4.13.23.
A double bottom is a sign that the low price is in.
Today’s trade is another Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 5.26.23 6.50 puts@ .28
Buy UNG 5.26.23 5.50 puts@ .09

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 72.5%
Risk per Spread $81

4.21.23 Good morning Traders,
GDX is the ETF that trades gold. Gold
is sensitive to interests rates, the trend of the economy, war, and government policies regarding money supply, and many other monetary and fiscal dislocations. For my purposes it is enough to recognize that the price will fluctuate. The changing trends in the price of gold make it a reliable instrument to trade.
I made two trades today. The first is a Bear Call
spread since gold is very likely to decline in price. The second is a simple directional trade that will increase in value when gold falls in price.
The trades are as follows:

1. Sell GDX 5.26.23 36 Calls@ .52
Buy GDX 5.26.23 37 Calls@ .36

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 73.8%
Risk per Spread $84

2. Buy GDX 6.16.23 Puts@ 1.98

I have calculated that GDX will make a low on
5.23.23

4.20.23 Hello Traders,

The price of XLC continues to fall.
I have bought a put on XLC that should
increase in value as the price of XLC falls.

The trade is as follows:

Buy XLC 6.16.23 58 puts@ 1.93

4.20.23 Hello Traders,
XLC is the ETF that trades communication stocks.
XLC made a high on 4.13.23 at $52.26. The high was made within two calendar days of my calculated high date.
The price of XLC has started to show weakness and
head down. The next calculated low date is: 5.19.23 +/- 2
days.
My trade is a Bear Call Spread as follows:

Sell XLC 5.19.23 60 Calls@.57
Buy XLC 5.19.23 61 Calls@.31

Credit .26
Potential profit 35%
Probability of Success 69.8%
Risk per Spread $74

4.20.23 Good morning Traders,
XOP is the ETF that trades oil stocks. Since
the high on 11.13.23 at $160.62, the price trend for XOP has been down. The oscillating up and down price cycle is a gift to a trader
since it provides many opportunities to trade XOP.
Today I made the following trade:

Sell XOP 5.19.23 135 Calls@ 1.91
Buy XOP 5.19.23 136 Calls@ 1.66

Credit .25
Potential Profit 33%
Probability of Success 71.6%
Risk per Spread $75

I calculate that the current down trend for XOP
will last until 5.30.23.

4.14.23 Today I have another trade. XBI is the ETF that trades biotech stocks. Yesterday XBI rose 4.00% in a powerful breakout above resistance at $77.20. Today I am buying on the retracement ot $77.86, a price still above support. Price, momentum, and the trend are all headed up. My calculations indicate that price will peak on 6.28.23 +/- 2 days.
The trade is a simple directional trade as follows:

Buy XBI 6.2.23 77.50 Calls@ 3.95

4.13.23 Good morning Traders,
Yesterday just before the close of trading,
I placed a trade on WOOD, the ETF that trades lumber. WOOD made a high on 2.2.23 at $79.95 followed by a low at $69.48 on 3.17.23. Price has started to move up. My calculations indicate that the uptrend will end on 6.6.23.
The trade is a simple directional trade as follows:

Buy WOOD 5.19.23 72 Calls@ 1.90

4.11.23.
Natural Gas, symbol UNG, is my next trade.
UNG made a high on 8.22.23 at $33.79 followed by
an historic decline to $6.14 on 4.6.23. The decline
was 81%. Price has made a bottom at about $6.90
for the past 13 days. Price is up 2% this morning ;
and it has risen to overhead resistance for the past
two days. UNG has made a bottom.
My trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 5.12.23 6 puts@ .30
Buy UNG 5.12.23 5 puts@ .11

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 76.6%
Risk per Spread $81

4.6.23 Good morning Traders,
Today I made a trade on XBI, the ETF that trades biotech stocks. The sector has been beaten down in price from a high on 2.2.23 at $91.97 to a low on 3.22.23 at $73.13. From the base price, XBI has moved up 1.90% today to break out above overhead resistance. The rally should last until a high is made on 5.31.23.
My trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XBI 5.12.23 73 puts@ 1.52
Buy XBI 5.12.23 72 puts@ 1.29

Credit .23
Potential Profit 29.9%
Probability of Success 71.6%
Risk per Spread $77

3.30.23 Hello Traders,

The Russell 2000, symbol IWM, made a top on 2.2.23 at 198.32. A decline in price
continued until 3.23.23. The bottom is in. The current trend up. My calculations show the up move will
continue until 5.19.23.
Today I traded the following Bull Put spread:

Sell IWM 4.19.23 170puts @ 2.21
Buy IWM 4.19.23 169puts @ 1.97

Credit .24
Potential Profit 31.6%
Probability of Success 70%
Risk per Spread $76

3.28.23 Hello Traders,
General Motors, symbol GM, has been oscillating between $31 and $43 since July, 2022. The most recent high was on
2.17.23 and the low was on 3.17.23.
My trade, a Bull Put spread is as follows:

Sell GM 4.21.23 33 puts@ .50
Buy GM 4,21.23 32 puts@ .33

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 77.7%
Risk per Spread $ 83

3.21.23 The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a solid bottom on
3.13.23 and now has reversed trend to the upside.
I will take the opposite side of the trade with a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell DIA 4.14.23 315 puts@ 3.05
Buy DIA 4.14.23 314 puts@ 2.87

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 71.8%
Risk per Spread $82

3.20.23 Here is the update and conclusion on the UNG-
Natural Gas trade that began on 2.27.23. The price of UNG
fell below 8.00 this past week. Below are the trades made
to repair the trade:

2.27.23 Sell UNG 3.24.23 8.00 puts@ .39
Buy UNG 3.24.23 7.00 puts@ .17

Credit .24

3.17.23 Buy UNG 3.24.23 8.00 puts@ .40

Loss .01
3.20.23 Sell UNG 3.24.23 7.00 puts@ .10
Loss .07

The math worked out as follows:

Credit .24- Loss .08 = .16 profit

The original trade gave us the cost basis for the calculations
as follows: The difference between the UNG 3.24.23 8.00 put and the
UNG 3.24.23 put is 1.00. The profit of .24 reduced our purchase price to .76. Our final profit is as follows:

.16/.76= 21%

The 21% profit was made in 21 days. This is equivalent to
earning 364% in one year.
Unwinding the credit spread when the trade goes against
you is one method of keeping your profit.

3.10.23 The Dow Jones is down by 449 points.The yield curve
is inverted and the market is falling. We are headed for a recession. Since everyone is fleeing into bonds, we can still make a profit.
The trade is a Bull Put spread on TLT, the ETF that trades the 20 year Treasury bond.
The trade is as follows:

Sell TLT 4.6.23 100puts@ .61
Buy TLT 4.6.23 99 puts@ .45

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 82.4%
Risk per Spread $84

3.9.23 Hello Traders,
General Motors has been oscillating between
$32 and $43 since last July,2022. The most recent high was made on 2.17.23. The next low is calculated to be made on 4.7.23.
The trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:
Sell GM 3.31.23 41 Calls@ .39
Buy GM 3.31.23 42 Calls@ .23

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 77.4%
Risk per Spread $84

3.3.23 Good morning Traders,
Today I have a trade on gold,symbol GDX.
The price of gold made a high of 33.27 on 1.25.23
followed by a low of 26.99 on 2.24.23.
The price of gold is reversing to the upside
providing us with a good trading opportunity for Bull Put spread as follows:
Sell GDX 3.24.23 27 puts@ .32
Buy GDX 3.24.23 26 puts@ .16

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 76.3%
Risk per Spread $84

The price of GDX is calculated to continue to rise until 3.27.23.

2.27.23 Good morning Traders,
Today we have the opportunity to profit by trading natural gas, symbol UNG. UNG made a high on 8.22.22 at 33.79; the low was made on 2.21.23 at 7.21. The decline in price was 78.7%. Time and price squared on 2.21.23. This means that they equaled the same angle on the Square of Nine. When this happens, a trend change is inevitable. The price of UNG is now rising from the low.
The trade today is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell UNG 3.24.23 8 puts@ .40
Buy UNG 3.24.23 7 puts@ .16

Credit .24
Potential Profit 31.6%
Probability of Success 71%
Risk per Spread $76

2.22.23 Good morning Traders,
XLK is the ETF that trades technology stocks.XLK has been trading below support at 140 for the past three days. The price of XLK is headed lower. I calculate that XLK will continue to decline in price until 4.9.23.
My trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLK 3.17.23 144 Calls@.98
Buy XLK 3.17.23 145 Calls@ .77

Credit .21
Potential Profit 26.6%
Probability of Success 78.2%
Risk per Spread $79

2.21.23 Hello Traders,
As the Dow Jones Industrial Average drops 647 points, we have an opportunity to profit. The trade is
a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell DIA 3.17.23 345 Calls@ 1.35
Buy DIA 3.17.23 346 Calls@ 1.15

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 80%
Risk per Spread $80

The next bottom for the DOW is calculated to be on 4.13.23.

2.10.23 On 2.1.23 I placed the following trade on XOP, the ETF
that trades oil:

Sell XOP 2.17.23 145 Calls@.93
Buy XOP 2.17.23 146 Calls@.78
Credit .15

The price of XOP has moved up sharply today. The
price is up $5.80 or 4.33%
As a result, I repurchased the XOP 145 Calls for 1.02
I am holding the XOP 146 Calls that are now worth .87

Adding in the .15 credit earned at the first trade, I am dead even. If XOP continues to rise, I should be able to earn a profit.
My calulations indicate that XOP will peak on 2.22.23.

.93–1.04
.78– .87

-.15 + +.15= 0

I will keep you posted as the trade continues.

2.9.23 Good morning Traders,
Today we have a Bear Call spread on MOO,
the ETF that trades milk. Since the low on 7.14.22, MOO
has oscillated up and down between $95 and $80-84. This makes trading easier. The next calculated low in price is
on 4.15.23.
The trade is as follows:

Sell MOO 3.17.23 93 Calls@ .80
Buy MOO 3.17.23 94 Calls@ .60

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 73.6%
Risk per Spread $80

2.8.23 Good morning Traders,
Today we have a trade on XLP, the ETF that
trades consumer goods.XLP started at a low of 66.50 on 10.7.22. Price rose to a high of 77.19 on 12.2.22. Ever since 12.2.22, price has shown a steady decline. I calculate that
the fall in price will continue until 3.17.23.
The trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLP 3.10.23 75 Calls@ .34
Buy XLP 3.10.23 76 Calls@ .16

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 78.5%
Risk per Spread $82

2.2.23 Good morning Traders,
On 1.19.23 I placed the following trade:

Sell XLI 2.10.23 102.50 Calls@ .46
Buy XLI 2.10.23 103.50 Calls@ .30

The price of XLI has moved up to 103.26
My plan to repair the trade is to buy back
the 102.50 Calls for a temporary loss and
to hold on to the 103.50 Calls I own.
If XLI continues to rise in price, then the
103.50 Calls will also rise in price, giving me
a chance to make a profit.

2.1.23 Good morning Traders,
The price of oil has dropped this morning.
The price of oil has been fluctuating due to decreased
demand, looming recession, and the war in the Ukraine. This provides us
with a perfect opportunity to make repeated trades using
my timing formula.
XOP is the ETF that trades oil. The trade is a Bear
Call spread as follows:

Sell XOP 2.17.23 145 Calls@ .93
Buy XOP 2.17.23 146 Calls@ .78

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.5%
Probability of Success 82%
Risk per Spread $85

Making 17.5% in the next 16 days is equivalent
to making 399% in one year.

1.19.23 XLI is the ETF that trades industrial stocks.It is a proxy for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The ETF chart has made a double top and has declined in price for the past several days.
My calculations show that price will decline until 2.15.23.
The trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLI 2.10.23 102.5 Calls@ .46
Buy XLI 2.10.23 103.5 Calls@ .30

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 80.8%
Risk per Spread $84

Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

1.17.23 Hello Traders,
Today we have a trade on UNG, the ETF that trades natural gas. UNG made a high of $32.01 on 8.19.22. Then began a long decline in price until 1.13.23 to $11.03. My calculations determined that the low would be on 1.13.23. Many previous lows were made at $10.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 2.3.23 10 puts@ .35
Buy UNG 2.3.23 9 puts@ .15

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success78.2%
Risk per Spread $80

1.12.23 Today I sold the GDX 1.13.23 31 Calls@ 1.01 as part of
my repair strategy for the GDX spread trade I closed this trade
two days ago.
There is more to follow on this trade.

XOP, the ETF that trades oil, has broken out of overhead resistance with a rise of $4.34 or 3.23%. XOP declined from a top on11.15.22 to a bottom on 1.3.23. I have calculated that XOP will
rise in price until 2.12.23.
The trade that follows is a Bull Put spread:

Sell XOP 2.3.23 130 puts@ 1.76
Buy XOP 2.3.23 129 puts@ 1.56

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 78%
Risk per Spread $80

1.10.23 Hello Traders,
On 11.30.22 I made the following trade:

Sell JO 1.20.23 44 puts@ .78
Buy JO 1.20.23 43 puts@ .61

The price of JO has moved sharply down to 43.10

I have purchased the JO 44 puts I previously sold; and I
am holding on to the JO 43 puts I bought.
As the price of JO continues to fall, the values of the 43 puts will increase, thusly wiping out the temporary loss.

1.9.23 Hello Traders,
Today we have a Bull Put spread on XLK, the ETF that trades technology stocks. XLK had a long uptrend from 3.20.20 to 12.10.21. This was followed by a long downtrend from from 12.10.21 to 10.14.22. Price has retested the lows on 12.30.22 with a double bottom.
Now price is showing signs of life with a breakout above
resistance today of 2.83%.
The trade is as follows:

Sell XLK 2.3.23 121 puts@ 1.29
Buy XLK 2.3.23 120 puts@ 1.10

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 78.5%
Risk per Spread $81

1.6.23 MOO is the ETF that trades milk. MOO has broken out of a consolidation to the upside. There has been a rise in price of $1.97 or
2.32%. The rise in price is calculated to continue until 1.22.23.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell MOO 1.20.23 85 Puts@ .53
Buy MOO 1.20.23 84 Puts@ .35

Credit.18
Potential profit 22%
Probability of Success 74.7%
Risk per Spread $82

1.6.23 Hello Traders,

On 12.19.22 I placed the following Bear Call
spread on GDX:

Sell GDX 1.13.23 30 Calls@ .37
Buy GDX 1.13.23 31 Calls@ .21

GDX has moved up in price for the past two days.
My plan is to purchase the GDX 30 Calls I sold on 12.19.22
for what I believe will be a temporary loss; and hold on to the
31 Calls I purchased on 12.19.22.
If GDX continues to rise in price, then the loss will be wiped out and a profit is likely. The options expire on 1.13.23..
I will keep you informed.

1.3.23 Today we have a trade on XLU, the ETF that trades utility stocks. Utility stocks are interest rate sensitive. A rise in interest rates will adversely effect utility stock prices. XLU has made a top and is beginning to decline in price. I calculate that price will decline until 1.31.23.

The trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLU 1.27.23 73 Calls@ .38
Buy XLU 1.27.23 74 Calls@ .22

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 80.4%
Risk per Spread $84

12.29.22 XBI is the ETF that trades biotech stocks. XBI made a bottom
at $75 on 9.26.22. Since then it has traded sideways between $76-78. Today XBI has jumped 5.02% or $3.96 to a high of $82.79.
My trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XBI 1.20.23 76Puts@.84
Buy XBI 1.20.23 75Puts@.68

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 82%
Risk per Spread $84

12.22.22 Hello Traders,

While the stock market continues to decline,I can find profitable trades using my stock timing mathematics and pattern
recognition.
XLV is the ETF that trades health stocks. XLV made a
high of 139.88 on 12.13.22. This was close to the 4.8.22 high of 142. XLV is calculated to continue to decline until 1.10.23 by my calculations.
Today’s trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLV 1.13.23 140 Calls@ .57
Buy XLV 1.13.23 141 Calls@ .41

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 81.5%
Risk per Spread $84

12.19.22 Gold made a recent high on 12.1.22. A decline in price
is expected until 1.11.23. I am trading the decline by
placing a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell GDX 1.13.23 30 Calls@ .37
Buy GDX 1.13.23 31 Calls@ .21

Credit .16
Potential profit 19%
Probability of Success 75.6%
Risk per spread $84

12.19.22 I have another trade today. XLP is the ETF that trades
consumer goods. XLP made a high on 12.2.22. The next calculated low should be on 1.20.23.
The trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLP 1.20.23 77 Calls@ .44
Buy XLP 1.20.23 78 Calls@.24

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 77%
Risk per Spread $80

12.6.22 The Dow Jones Industrial Average has made a top
and is starting to roll over to the downside. I calculate
that the next turn date for the Dow will be on 12.21.22+/-2
days.
My trade today is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell DIA 12.23.22 346 Calls@ 1.73
Buy DIA 12.23.22 347 Calls@ 1.53

Credit .21
Potential Profit 26.6%
Probability of Success 75.7%
Risk per Spread $79

12.6.22 This morning I sold the UNG 12.9.22 17 puts for .77. The final profit for the UNG credit spread placed on 11.21.22 is 22%. The original profit target was 25%.
I was able to obtain a profit on this trade that went against me by unwinding the trade. Yesterday I purchased the UNG 12.9.22 18 put for a temporary loss; and today selling the UNG 12.9.22 17 puts for a profit since the price of UNG kept dropping below 17.
Credit spreads are great to trade; even when a trade goes
against you, you can often still score a win.

12.5.22 XLF is the ETF that trades financial stocks. XLF
made a high on 11.30.22. Price is now headed down.
The low date fo this new trend is calculated for 1.17.23.
The trade today is a Bear Call spread. The trade is as follows:
Sell XLF 1.6.23 36.50 Calls@ .29
Buy XLF 1.6.23 37.50 Calls@ .12

Credit .17
Potential profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 69.7%
Risk per Spread $83

On 11.21.22 I placed the following trade on natural gas:
Sell UNG 12.9.22 18 puts@ .55
Buy UNG 12.9.22 17 puts@ .35

Credit .20

UNG has fallen significantly today. I responded by buying
back the UNG 12.9.22 18 puts at a loss and holding on to the
UNG 12.9.22 17 puts I bought. Since the price of UNG is continuing to fall, the UNG 12.9.22 17 puts have risen in price substantialy today; the initial
loss has shrunk to just one dollar !! I expect that UNG will continue to fall
resulting in a profit for the overall trade. I will keep you informed.

11.30.22

Hello Traders,
Today I have another trade on coffee, one of my
favorite commodities to trade. The symbol is JO.
Coffee made a long decline from 8.24.22 to 11.19.22.
Momentum to the upside is now present.
The trade is as follows:

Sell JO 1.20.23 44puts@ .78
Buy JO 1.20.22 43 puts@ .61

Credit ..17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 80%
Risk per Spread $83

Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

11.21.22 Hello Traders,
I have another trade today. UNG is the ETF that trades natural gas. A recent low was made on 10.21.22. Price then went sideways during a consolidation. Price has broken out to the upside today
with a more than six percent gain.I calculate that price will peak on 12.12.22. The trade today is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 12.9.22 18 Puts@ .55
Buy UNG 12.9.22 17 Puts@ .35

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 82.3%
Risk per Spread $80

12.21.22 Good morning Traders,
The price of oil reached a peak on 11.16.22. The price is headed down. The calculated date of the next low is 12.14.22.
Today we are trading a Bear Call spread on XOP, the ETF that trades oil stocks. The trade is as follows:

Sell XOP 12.9.22 161Calls@ 1.38
Buy XOP 12.9.22 162Calls@ 1.23

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 82%
Risk per Spread $85

11.4.22
Natural gas, symbol UNG,
made a long decline from 8.19.22 to 10.21.22. Price bottomed at $18.00.
Following a short consolidation in price, UNG is starting a new campaign in price. I calculate that UNG will continue to rise until 3.22.22. It is estimated that natural gas will be in short supply in New England this winter. Short supply will fuel a continuing rise in the price of UNG.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 11.18.22 18 Puts@ .65
Buy UNG 11.18.22 17 Puts@ .39

Credit .26
Potential Profit 35.1%
Probability of Success 74.9%
Risk per Spread $74

10.26.22 Good morning Traders,

The semiconductor sector has been in decline
since August 15th. Price bottomed on 10.14.22 and is now in an
uptrend. The uptrend in price is calculated to last until 12.26.22.
Our trade is a Bull Put spread on SMH, the
ETF that trades semiconductor stocks..
The trade is as follows:

Sell SMH 11.25.22 173puts@ 3.09
Buy SMH 11.25.22 172puts@ 2.90

Credit .19
Potential profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 87.5%
Risk per Spread $81

10.25.22

New market cycles bring new opportunities. XLU, the ETF that trades utility stocks, completed a significant decline on 10.12.22. Following a small consolidation period, price has started a new uptrend. The price of XLU is calculated to rise until 12.8.22.
The new trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XLU 11.11.22 62puts@ .58
Buy XLU 11.11.22 61puts@ .41

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 74.3%
Risk per Spread $83

Natural Gas, UNG, made a bottom on
10.21.22, only three days from the expected low. The trend has
reversed and we are in position to profit from the upside move.
UNG is calculated to make move up in price until 11.26.22.

The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 11.11.22 17.50puts@ .61
Buy UNG 11.11.22 16 puts@ @ .26

Credit .35
Potential Profit 30.4%
Probability of Success 75.6%
Risk per Spread $115

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

10.12.22 Good morning Traders,
The JO, coffee, Bull Put spread I placed on 9.30.22 has moved against me. The price of JO has moved below 59.
On 9.30.22 I sold the JO 59 puts and bought the JO 58 puts, all expiring on 10.21.22.
Since the price of JO has fallen, I have bought back the 59 puts for a temporary loss. However, I have held on to the 58 puts I purchased on 9.30.22. If the price of JO continues to fall, the price of the 58 puts will increase.
I have calculated that JO will continue to fall until 10.27.22 +/- 2 days. There is still a good chance to pull out a profit on this trade.

10.11.22 Good morning Traders,
The price of oil and natural gas are
headed down, short term. My trade today is
a Bear Call spread on XLE, the ETF that trades
energy stocks.
The trade is as follows:

Sell XLE 10.14.22 83Calls @ .41
Buy XLE 10.14.22 84Calls @ .25

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 70.4
Risk per Spread $84

10.6.22 Hello Traders,

Natural gas, symbol UNG, has been rising in price due to demand in Europe and the U.S.A. The current move up is calculated to last until 10.18.22 +/- 2 days.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 10.14.22 22 Puts@ .46
Buy UNG 10.14.22 21 Puts@ .25

Credit .21
Potential Profit 26.6%
Probability of Success 75.6%
Risk per Spread $79

10.4.22 Good morning Traders:

The markets are rebounding to the upside today.
It is time for us to profit from this current move. I have two
trades as follows:

Sell COW 10.21.22 37 Puts@ .27
Buy COW 10.21.22 36 Puts@ .09

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 59.7%
Risk per Spread $82

Sell AAPL 10.21.22 137 Puts@ 1.63
Buy AAPL 10.21.22 136 Puts@ 1.45

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 87.5%
Risk per Spread $82

10.3.22
Commodities like WOOD have bottomed and are making a come back. WOOD has bottomed at 65, a level of support going back several years.The gap up in price by 2.92% this morning indicates likely higher prices to come.The next calculated high price is 12.19.22. WOOD is the ETF that trades wood.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell WOOD 10.21.22 64 Puts@ 1.13
Buy WOOD 10.21.22 63 Puts@ .95

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 71.9%
Risk per Spread $82

9.29.22 Good morning traders,
The price of oil will continue to fluctuate
providing us with many opportunities to trade in
an otherwise volatile market. The price of oil made a bottom on 9.26.22. The price is expected to rise into mid October.
XOP is the ETF that trades oil stocks.
The trade is as follows:

Sell XOP 10.7.22 115 puts@ 1.37
Buy XOP 10.7.22 114 puts@ 1.20

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 80%
Risk per Spread $83

9.27.22 CORN has made a good run up in price from 7.22.22
to 9.12.22. Price is showing weakness and is starting
to roll over. I calculate that the price of CORN will decline until 10.22.22 +/- 2 days.
The trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:
Sell CORN 10.21.22 28 Calls@ .40
Buy CORN 10.21.22 29 Calls@ .20

Credit .20
Potential profit 25%
Probability of Success 68.7%
Risk per Spread $80

9.20.22 Hello Traders,

Coffee has resumed the up move started on 7.15.22; the retracement was finished three trading days ago. We now have three consecutive days of rising prices. I calculate that coffee will continue to rise in price until 11.2.22.
JO is the ETF that trades coffee. My trade takes the opposite side of the market. Price has only a 29% chance of declining to $29. The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell JO 10.21.22 59 Puts@ 1.36
Buy JO 10.21.22 58 Puts@ 1.07
Credit .29
Potential Profit 40.8%
Probability of Success 71.9%
Risk per Spread $81

9.16.22 The market is continuing to fall.We must manage
our trades as follows:

1. The Bull Put spread made on GDX on 8.23.22:
Buy back the GDX 9.16.22 24 put

2. The Bull Put spread made on XLI on 9.12.22:
Buy back the XLI 9.30.22 92 put
Hold on to the XLI 9.30.22 91 put

9.12.22 On 8.24.22 I placed the following trade:

Sell DIA 9.16.22 343 Calls@ 1.06
Buy DIA 9.16.22 344 Calls@ .89
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%

Today, since the DIA is rising in price and there are only five days
left before option expiration, I ended the trade as follows:

9.12.22 Bought DIA 9.16.22 343 Calls@ .04
Sold DIA 9.16.22 344 calls@ .03

Loss .01

.17- .01= .16
.16/.84= 19% Profit

9.12.22 XLI is the ETF that trades industrial stocks. XLI is in a
strong uptrend. The trade today is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XLI 9.30.22 92 Puts@ .78
Buy XLI 9.30.22 91 puts@ .61

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 86.9%
Risk per Spread $83

9.8.22 My final trade of the day was on XLY, the ETF that trades
consumer discretionary stocks. XLY made a bottom and is now
trending to the upside. The trade is a Bull Put spread. XLY is calculated to rise in price until 10.12.22.
The trade is as follows:

Sell XLY 9.16.22 155 puts@ 1.25
Buy XLY 9.16.22 154 puts@ 1.07

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 87%
Risk per Spread $82

9.8.22 The healthcare sector is showing some signs of life
this week. After a decline in price, XLV made a bottom and consolidated. XLV is now rising to the upside. XLV is the ETF that trades healthcare stocks. The trade is a Bull Put spread as
follows:

Sell XLV 9.23.22 124 puts@ .88
Buy XLV 9.23.22 123 puts@ .69

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 75.5%
Risk per Spread $81

My calculations show XLV rising until 10.6.22

9.7.22 The price of oil is falling !!
My calculations indicate that the price will
continue to fall until 10.7.22

Today’s trade is a Bear Call spread as
follows:
Sell XOP 9.23.22 150 Calls@ 1.86
Buy XOP 9.23.22 151 Calls@ 1.68

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 77.7%
Risk per Spread $82
8.30.22 The stock market continues to fall and interest rates will continue to rise as the Federal Reserve continues to play catch up with inflation. XLU is the ETF that trades utility stocks. Utilities raise money for operations by selling bonds. With interest rates rising, they will have to raise interest rates on their bonds, resulting in higher costs and decreased income. Hence the fall in utility stock prices.
Our trade today is a Bear Call spread on XLU as follows:
Sell XLU 9.16.22 78 Calls@ .27
Buy XLU 9.16.22 79 Calls@ .12

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 82.3%
Risk per Spread $ 85

8.26.22 The stock market is headed down. The Dow Jones
is down 770 points today. This is the time to step in and make some money. The XLY is the ETF that trades discretionary consumer stocks. XLY has been trading below support at 165. Today
price dropped 5.55 (-3.34%). There is more downside action to come.
Today’s trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell XLY 9.16.22 172 Calls@ 1.02
Buy XLY 9.16.22 173 Calls@ .85

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 82%
Risk per Spread $ 83

8.24.22 The Dow Jones Industrial Average has finished its bear market rally and is now trading below support at 33,500. The weekly chart is showing even more weakness with two consecutive weekly declines from the recent top. With the economic and monetary headwinds locked in place by the Administration in Washington, we can expect ot see a continuation of the stock market decline.
My trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell DIA 9.16.22 343 Calls@ 1.06
Buy DIA 9.26.22 344 Calls@ .89

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 83.3%
Risk per Spread $83

8.23.22 Gold has made a double bottom in price; and price
has been trading sideways for the past five weeks.
The price of gold has started to turn up. With inflation
and out of control government spending and the Federal
Reserve expanding the M-2 money supply by 54% in the past two years, the price of gold will very likely rise.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:
Sell GDX 9.16.22 24 Puts@ .40
Buy GDX 9.16.22 23 Puts@ .23

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 78%
Risk per Spread $83

8.23.22 Today we have another trade. SMH is the ETF that trades
semiconductors. SMH was in a downtrend from January
to July of this year. The brief rally in July-August is failing
judged by the double top and price now trading below support.
The weekly chart is equally bearish. I expect the price of SMH
to resume its downward trend.
The trade is a Bear Call spread as follows:

Sell SMH 9.16.22 247.50 Calls@ 1.94
Buy SMH 9.16.22 250 Calls@ 1.52

Credit .42
Potential Profit 20.2%
Probability of Success 71%
Risk per Spread $201

8.16.22 Good morning Traders,
Baker Hughes made a significant decline in
price followed by a bottom that lasted four weeks. The
stock is showing signs of life to the upside. My trade is a Bull Put spread since I expect the price of BKR to rise.

The trade is as follows:

Sell BKR 9.16.22 23Puts@ .45
Buy BKR 9.16.22 22Puts@ .26

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 75.6%
Risk per Spread $81

8.15.22 This morning I closed out the DIA credit spread for a
profit of 71.6%. The data below shows how I turned a losing trade into a winner:

8.2.22 Sell DIA 8.19.22 335 Calls@ 1.42
Buy DIA 8.19.22 336 Calls@ 1.18
Profit .24
The difference between 336 and 335 is one. 1.00 minus .24 = .74. This is the amount per spread that we have at risk; it is our basis. .74= $74

8.11.22 I bought back the DIA 8.19.22 Call at 3.55 for a loss of -2.13. The option was purchased because the price of DIA had risen above 335.

8.15.22 I sold the remaining DIA 336 Call for 3.60 for a profit of 2.42.
The math worked out as follows:
8.2.22 The DIA spread is placed for a profit of .24, $24 per spread.
8.11.22 The DIA 335 Call option is purchased back for a loss of -2.13, $213.
8.15.22 The DIA 336 Call option is sold at 3.60 for a profit of 2.24, $224.

8.2.22 Profit $24
8.11.22 $ 142 to $ 335= Loss of $213
8.15.22 $118 to $360= Profit of $242
+$24 -$213 +$242= $ + 53

$ 53/$74= +71.6% Profit

Credit spreads will often allow you to turn a losing trade
into a winner when the trend turns against you.

8.11 22 The ETF that trades cocoa is NIB. NIB has started to rise froma solid base.
The trade is a directional trade:

Buy NIB 11.18.22 25 calls@ 2.35

8.12.22 Good morning traders,

Today we have a trade on Eli Lilly.
The stock has begun a recovery from a pullback
to support. The trade is a Bull Put spread since we expect price to continue to rise.
The trade is as follows:

Sell LLY 8.26.22 300 puts@ 3.24
Buy LLY 8.26.22 295 puts@ 2.27

Credit .97
Potential Profit 24%
Probability of Success 69%
Risk per spread $403

8.10.22 On 6.27.22 I recommended and made the following
trade:

6.27.22 Buy WOOD 8.19.22 76.00 Call@ 2.80
Today, on 8.10.22, I sold the same option for 4.20
Profit 50%

Halbridge,M.D.

8.2.22 Bad news for the markets is good news for us !!
Inflation, rising interest rates, oil prices rising again,
threat of war in Asia, and political indecision at home
add up to one thing: a stock market that is unlikely to rise in
price any time soon.
DIA is the ETF that trades the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
My calculated day for the most recent high was 8.1.22; the actual
high was on 7.29.22. The next low is calculated to be on 9.3.22.
Since 9.3.22 is a Saturday, 9.2.22 seems more likely.
The trade, a Bear Call spread, is as follows:

Sell DIA 8.19.22 335 Calls@ 1.42
Buy DIA 8.18.22 336 Calls@ 1.18

Credit .24
Potential Profit 31.6%
Probability of Success 87.2%
Risk per Spread $76

7.29.22 Following a long decline in price since April, 2022,
gold has made a bottom and is showing signs of life to the upside. Gold is the one real store of value that cannot
be inflated or manipulated by incompetent governments.
Today’s trade, a Bull Put spread, is as follows:

Sell GDX 8.19.22 24.50 @ .41
Buy GDX 8.19.22 23.50 @ .18

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 86.4%
Risk per Spread $82

7.28.22 Today we have a trade in RIO TInto a company that mines: copper, iron ore, diamond, bauxite, uranium, and titanium.
The stock has been in a decline since April, 2022. A bottom in price
has been made, and price is headed up. My calculations indicate that
the current up trend in price should last until 8.17.22 +/- 2 days.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell RIO 8.19.22 55 puts@ 1.22
Buy RIO 8.19.22 52.5 puts@ .66

Credit .56
Potential Profit 28.9%
Probability of Success 74.5%
Risk per Spread 1.94

7.25.22 Good afternoon Traders,
XLU, the ETF that trades utility stocks is once again providing an opportunity for profit. XLU is now breaking out to the upside after forming a wedge formation. Our calculated low date was 7.18.22; the actual low date was 7.20.22.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XLU 8.5.22 68 puts@ .29
Buy XLU 8.5.22 67.5 puts @.22

Credit .07
Potential Profit 16.3%
Probability of Success 80.3%
Risk per Spread $43

The next high date is calculated on 8.5.22
The next high price is $ 73.65
7.22.22 Good afternoon Traders,
Energy stocks are making a rebound.
XLE is the ETF that trades oil,gas,etc. We are taking the opposite side of the market by placing a Bull Put spread. We are selling an option at a price where XLE is very unlikely to go before 8.12.22
The trade is as follows:

Sell XLE 8.12.22 67 puts@ 1.17
Buy XLE 8.12.22 66 puts@ .96

Credit .21
Potential Profit 26.6%
Probability of Success 74%
Risk per Spread $79

7.20.22 MOO is the ETF that trades milk. After making a recent
bottom in price, MOO has started to move up. Price is
expected to rise until 8.22.22 +/- 2 days. The trade is a
Bull Put spread.
The trade is as follows:

Sell MOO 8.19.22 82 puts@ .88
Buy MOO 8.19.22 81 puts@ .73

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 78.8%
Risk per Spread $85

Here is the recap on the DIA credit spread trade. The trade
played out as follows:

7.13.22 Sell DIA 7.22.22 316 calls@ 1.22
Buy DIA 7.22.22 317 calls@ 1.00
Credit .22
Potential Profit 28.2%

7.19.22 DIA rises in price above 316. Bought back
the DIA 7.22.22 316 calls@ 3.70

1.22 minus 3.70 = -2.48 loss
7.20.22 Sold DIA 7.22.22 317 calls@ 3.46
3.46 minus 1.00 = +2.46 profit

– 2.48 + 2.46= .02 loss

Original credit .22 minus .02 = .20 profit

.20/.78 = 25.6% profit
.78 is our cost basis from the 7.13.22 credit spread
1.00 minus .22 = .78

The unwinding of the credit spread as demonstrated
above enabled us to take a losing trade and turn it into a winner.
Trading credit spreads results in more winning trades and less risk.

7.14.22 Market volatility and decline continue. Natural gas, UNG,
is making a comeback . The price is continuing to rise. My calculations show that the price of UNG will continue up until 8.8.22 +/- 2 days.
Our trade today is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell UNG 8.5.22 18.5 puts@ .46
Buy UNG 8.5.22 17.5 puts@ .32

Credit .14
Potential Profit 16.3%
Probability of Success 84.6%
Risk per Spread $ 84

7.13.22 Good afternoon Traders,
All the financial news is bad. Interest rates are rising; real inflation is above 12%; and there is no direction from the Administration to tackle and resolve any of these problems.
The good news is that the market will continue to decline giving us many more opportunities to profit.
The Dow Jones Industrials will continue to decline until 7.25.22 when a short term trend will end. Today’s trade is a Bear Call spread. As long as the DIA remains below 316, there will be no need to adjust the trade. The trade is as follows:

Sell DIA 7.22.22 316 Calls@ 1.22
Buy DIA 7.22.22 317 Calls@ 1.00

Credit .22
Potential Profit 28.2%
Probability of Success 80.3%
Risk per Spread $ 78

7.5.22 The market is continuing to fall today.The decline in price
provides us with an opportunity to trade on the opposite
side of the down trend by selling a call at 31,600 and hedging our position by buying a call at 31,700. The strategy is called a Bear Call Spread. My calculations indicate that the Dow will
continue to fall until 7.25.22 +/- 2 days. We will use the DIA, the
exchange traded fund that trades the DOW.
The trade is as follows:

Sell DIA 7.15.22 316 Calls@ .95
Buy DIA 7.15.22 317 Calls@ .78

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 82.9%
Risk per Spread $ 83.

6 27 22
The second trade is as follows:
Buy WOOD 8.19.22 76 calls@ 2.80
I calculate that WOOD will rise in price until 7.14.22. Remember to place a stop at 75.

6.27.22 Good morning traders,
WOOD , the ETF that trades lumber, made a low on
6.23.22. This was only one day from my calculated low of 6.22.22. The price of WOOD has started up again. We have two trades on WOOD. The first is a Bull Put credit spread; the second is a directional trade.
The trades are as follows:
Sell WOOD 7.15.22 70 puts@ .42
Buy WOOD 7.15.22 65 puts@ .16
Credit .28
Potential Profit 5.9%
Probability of Success 86%
Risk per Spread $482
The time until expiration is 18 days.
Why trade a credit spread with such a small potential
profit ??
1. The time to expiration is only 18 days.
Making 5.9% on your money in 18 days is equivalent to making 119% in a whole year.
2. In 18 days you can redeploy your money in another trade.
3. The 87% probability of success gives us little risk in the trade.
4. Being 80-85 successful in our trades allow the power of compounding to grow our accounts.
5. Consistency and having a trading plan allows us to make money in the market.

6.16.22 This morning I sold the following puts that I own.
The market is declining and this is in our favor.
The trades are as follows:

1. Sell XLK 6.17.22 130 puts@ 6.00
2. Sell XLU 6.17.22 69.50 puts@ 3.85
3. Sell GDX 6.17.22 29 puts@ .09

Hold the DIA 6.30.22 305 put that is now up 40% in
price. the market has a longer way to fall. The DIA will very
likely increase in value until 6.30.22- 7.2.22.
A future message will detail the results of the recent trades.

6.14.22 We have another trade as follows:

Sell the WOOD 6.17.22 82.00 put@ 5.50.
This is the option we purchased on 5.23.22
when we set up the WOOD credit spread.

6.14.22 The price of gold has decided to decline.
In order to defend our GDX trade, I have done the following:

Buy back the
GDX 6.17.22 30puts@ .83
Hold on to the GDX 6.17.22 puts we own

6.13.22 There is a lot of downside action in the market this morning.
This means that there is the potential for profit. I have made the
following trades today:
1. On the WOOD credit spread, I have bought back
the WOOD 6.17.22 83 puts we sold. The price was 4.90. Hold the WOOD 6.17.22
82 puts we bought.
2. On the XLU 6.17.22 70 puts we sold, I bought back the puts@ 1.70.
Hold the XLU 6.17.22 69.50 puts we originally bought.
3. On the XLK credit spread, I bought back the XLK 6.17.22 131 puts we sold.
The price was 5.10. Hold the XLK 6.17.22 130 puts we originally bought.

The strategy in the above trades is as follows: I expect the price of WOOD,XLU,
and XLK to continue to fall. If their prices drop, then the value of our options will rise.
I will keep you informed of our progress in this declining market

4. The DIA is the ETF that trades the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
my calculations show the DIA declining until 7.2.22 +/- 2 days.

The trade is as follows: Buy DIA 6.30.22 305 puts@ 6.34

5.27.22 The ETF that trades technology stocks is XLK.
Following a long decline in price, XLK made a bottom
and has started to move up in price. Today the price
has risen 2.69%.
Our trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell XLK 6.17.22 131 Puts@ 1.27
Buy XLK 6.17.22 130 Puts@ 1.11

Credit .16
Potential profit 19%
Risk per Spread $84

5.27.22 U.S. Steel moves in big waves that are easy to identify.
The symbol for U.S.Steel is X. U.S. Steel has made a good bottom
with price now breaking out to the upside. X is calculated to move up
until 7.15.22. The trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell X 6.17.22 24 Puts@ .58
Buy X 6.17.22 23.5 Puts@ .48

Credit .10
Potential profit 25%
Risk per spread $40

5.25.22 XLU is the exchange traded fund that trades utility stocks.
During times of market volatility or market decline, traders
seek utility stocks for safety. XLU has broken out to the upside
after making a good base. The trade is a Bull Put Spread as
follows:

Sell XLU 6.17.22 70.5 Puts@ .53
Buy XLU 6.17.22 69.5 Puts@ .38

Credit .15
Potential profit 17.6%
Risk per Spread $85

5.24.22 Today we have a trade on gold. The price of gold has made a bottom and it is calculated to continue to rise in price until 6.16.22 +/- 2 days. GDX is the exchange traded fund that trades gold.
We will take to opposite position by selling puts and hedging our position
by buying nearby puts. The trade is called a Bull Put Spread. The trade is as follows:

Sell GDX 6.17.22 29 puts@ .40
Buy GDX 6.17.22 28 puts@ .24

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Risk per Spread $84

5.23.22 Commodities are on the move up in price.
WOOD is the ETF that trades lumber. My
calculations indicate that WOOD will move
up in price until 6.23.22+/- 2 days.

The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell WOOD 6.17.22 83 puts@ 1.35
Buy WOOD 6.17.22 82 puts@ 1.12

Credit .23
Potential Profit 29.9%
Risk per Spread $77

5.18.22 Hello Traders,
With the stock market down more than 1100
points today,we want to be onthe other side of the market. We have a Bear Call Spread placed where the market is unlikely to reach during the next nine days. The trade is as follows:

Sell DIA 5.27.22 326 Calls@ 1.37
Buy DIA 5.27.22 327 Calls@1.14

Credit .23
Potential profit 29.9%
Risk per spread $77
It seems that fear has overcome greed and we can expect
more downside action in the days ahead.

4.20.22 The market has turned up. XLF is the ETF that trades
financial stocks. The price of XLF is expected to rise
until 5.5.22 +/- 2 days.
The trade is as follows:
Buy XLF 6.17.22 38 Calls@ 1.35
Place a Sell Stop order at 36.80

4.7.22 Yesterday I sold my position on XLF. The trade
went as follows:

4.4.22 Bought XLF 5.20.22 38 puts@ 1.09
4.6.22 Sold XLF 5.20.22 38nputs@ 1.42

Profit 30.3%
4.7.22 The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing
weakness in price action and momentum. Price
very likely will continue to fall.
The trade is as follows:

Buy DIA 5.13.22 343 puts@ 7.55

Place a stop at 347

4.4.22 XLF is the ETF that trades financial stocks. XLF follows the
Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P 500. Price in the XLF is showing weakness and is declining. XLF is calculated to continue down until 4.21.22.

The trade is as follows:
Buy XLF 5.20.22 38 puts@ 1.09

The ETF that trades timber is WOOD. The price of WOOD is falling.
The trade is as follows:
Buy WOOD 5.20.22 89puts@ 2.65

Place a sell stop order at 91.10

3.29.22 WEAT is the ETF that trades wheat. Recently WEAT made
a significant high and then moved sideways. The price of WEAT
has moved below key support levels for two consecutive days.
The price of WEAT is very likely to continue down.
The trade is as follows:
Buy WEAT 5.20.22 10.00 puts@ 1.04
Place a stop at 10.10

WE had the following trades close: 3.16.22 Bought XLF 5.20.22 39 Calls@ 1.25 3.23.22 Sold XLF 5.20.22 39 Calls@ 1.48 Profit 18.4%. 3.18.22 Bought XLK

5.20.22 155 Calls@ 6.17 3.23.22 Sold XLK 5.20.22 155 Calls@ 7.10 Profit 16.4%

3.18..22 The tech sector has come alive and price is moving up. XLK is the ETF that trades tech stocks. The price of XLK is expected to rise until 5.12.22. The trade is as follows:Buy XLK 5.20.22 155 Calls@ 6.12

On 3.11.22 I bought WOOD 5.20.22 89 Calls@ 3.50 Today I sold the same option at 5.10, a profit of 46.7%. Each option made a profit of $ 160

3.16.22 The Dow Jones Industrial Average has made
a bottom and is calculated to rise until 4.1.22. XLF is the ETF that trades financial stocks. The trade is as follows:Buy XLF 5.20.22 39 Calls@ 1.25

3.11.22 Buy WOOD 5.20.22 89 Calls@ 3.50
WOOD is the ETF that trades timber. I expect WOOD to increase in price.

3.7.22 Today I sold my position in BAL

The original trade was as follows:

2.15.22 Buy BAL 6.17.22 70 puts@ 5.08
Today I sold the position as follows:
3.7.22 Sell BAL 6.17.22 70 puts@ 5.90

Profit 16.1%

I sold the position today because my calculated
change in trend date was 3.7.22

3.7.22 NIB is the ETF that trades cocoa. NIB is trending up in price. By my calculations the price should rise until 3.31.22.The trade is as follows:Buy NIB 5.20.22 29 Calls@ 2.25

3.3.22 Today is the day to take some profits from our position in XOP, the ETF that trades oil. On 1.26.22 I recommended : Buy XPO 4.14.22 108 Calls@ 9.36. Today I sold the same 108 option at 15.35, for a profit of 64%.

2.25.22 Today’s trade is on COW, the ETF that trades
beef.
The trade is as follows:

Buy COW 7.15.22 39 puts@ 2.40

2.24.22 X, U.S. Steel made a high on 2.15.22. Since then, it
has traded below both its
13 & 5 day exponential moving averages for two consecutive days, providing a good entry point. The trade is as follows:

Buy X 5.20.22 23 Puts@ 2.55

2.23.21 Today’s trade is on WOOD, the ETF that trades
timber. WOOD made a high price on 2.9.22 and is
now headed down. The low is calculated to be made
on 3.7.22. The trade is as follows:

Buy WOOD 5.20.22 89Puts@ 4.40

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

2.15.22 Today’s trade is on BAL, the ETF that trades cotton.
Price has shown weakness for the past week. I expect that price will continue to fall until 3.7.22.

The trade is as follows:
Buy BAL 6.17.22 70 Puts@ 5.20

2.14.22 On 12.17.21 I purchased GDX 2.18.22 31 Calls@ 1.70
Today I sold the GDX 2.18.22 31 Calls@ 1.80 for a profit
of 5.9%.

2.10.22 On 2.2.22 I purchased X 6.17.22 22 Calls@ 2.85
Today I sold the X 6.17.22 22 Calls@ 4.35

Profit + 53%

2.2.22 Today’s trade is on X, U.S. Steel. X has made a solid bottom.
It is now sharply rebounding. X is calculated to move up in price until 2.15.22.
The trade is as follows:

Buy X 6.17.22 22 Calls@ 2.85

1.26.22 The price of oil is headed higher due to limited supply,
government policy, and international tensions.
The trade is as follows:

Buy XOP 4.14.22 108Calls@ 9.3

1.21.22 On 1.14.22 I purchased a COW 2.18.22 36call@ 1.75
Today I sold the same call for 1.85
The profit was 5.75%.

Halbridge,M.D.

See me in Trader’s World issue 83. Timing the Market with Gann Mathematics by Bruce L. Halbridge, M.D.
https://tradersworld.com/

We have a winning trade to publish as follows:

1.21.22 This morning I sold the DIA 3.4.22 352put @ 11.95
On 1.19.22 I had purchased the DIA 352 put @ 8.07
The trade has resulted in a 48% profit.
Trading the Dow Jones Industrials using my proprietary mathematics is not difficult. Please see my article
on Gann trading in the Traders World online magazine published
two days ago.

Thumbs up !!
Halbridge,M.D.

1.19.22 The Dow Jones Industrials are showing great
weakness. I calculate that the decline in price
will continue until 1.28.22 +/- 2 days.
The trade is as follows:

Buy DIA 3.4.22 352 puts@ 8.07

1.14.22 Today’s trade is on COW, the ETF that trades beef.
COW is expected to rise in price until 1.28.22.
The trade is as follows:

Buy COW 2.18.22 36 Calls@ 1.75

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

1.14.22 Today I sold two positions for a profit.
They are as follows:

1. XOP 2.18.22 102 Calls purchased on 12.7.21 at
8.60 were sold today, 1.14.22, at 10.15 for a profit of 18%.
2. NIB 5.20.22 29 Calls purchased on 1.12.22 at
2.35 were sold today at 3.10 for a profit of 31.9%.

1.12.22 NIB is the ETF that trades cocoa. NIB has made
a solid bottom and the campaign is now to the upside.
The weekly chart indicates a price rise until 5.27.22
The trade is as follows:

Buy NIB 5.20.22 29 Calls@ 2.35

Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

12.27.21
X, U.S. Steel is on the move up. I calculate that X
will continue to rise until 1.27.22 +/- 2 days. The trades are a simple directional trade followed by a Bull Put Credit Spread trade.
The trades are as follows:

1. Buy X 2.18.22 23 Calls@ 2.35

2. Sell X 1.21.22 22 Puts@ .57
Buy X 1.21.22 21 Puts@ .35

Credit .22
Potential Profit 28.2%
Risk per Spread $68
Probability of Success 72.6%

12.22.21 Buy WEAT 2.18.22 7.00 Calls@ .88

12/17/21

Buy GDX 2.18.22 31 Calls@ 1.70

12.7.21
1. Buy XOP 2.18.22 102 Calls@ 8.60

2. Sell XOP 12.31.21 92 Puts@ 1.28
Buy XOP 12.31.21 91 Puts@ 1.11

Credit . 17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Risk per Spread $83
Probability of Success 82.8%

3. Buy GDX 1.21.22 31 Calls@ 1.48

4. Sell GDX 12.31.21 29.5 Puts@ .52
Buy GDX 12.31.21 29 Puts@ .41

Credit .11
Potential Profit 28.2%
Risk per Spread $39
Probability of Success 74.6%

Thanks,
Halbridge,M.D.

12/7/21
MOO is the ETF that trades milk. The price is headed up.
We have two trades as follows:

1. Buy MOO 2.18.22 Calls@ 4.00

2. Sell MOO 12.17.21 90 puts@ 1.40
Buy MOO 12.17.21 89 puts@ .95

Credit .45
Potential Profit 81.8%
Risk per Spread $55
Probability of Success 68.7%

11.30.21 The price of oil is dropping. XOP is the ETF
that trades oil. I expect XOP to decline in price until 1.3.22 +/- 2 days..
The trade is as follows:
Buy XOP 1.7.22 96 puts@ 6.20

The trade is as follows:

11.19.21 Buy DIA 12.31.21 356 puts@ 6.95

DIA is the ETF that trades the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Dow is expected to decline throughout December, 2021.
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

Today we have two new trades as follows:

11.18.21 The ETF that trades oil is XOP.
XOP made a top on 11.8.21.
It is now trading below its tendline
and its moving averages. I calculate
that XOP will make a bottom on 1.3.22.

The trades are as follows:

1. Buy XOP 12.31.21 104 Puts@ 5.88

2. Sell XOP 12.10.21 113 Calls@1.31
Buy XOP 12.10.21 114 Calls@1.13

Credit .18
Potential Profit 20%
Probability of Success 77.3%
Risk per Spread $82

11.16.21 Today we have a trade in NIB, the ETF that trades cocoa. NIB
has made a bottom recently and is expected to increase in price
until 12.7.21 +/- 2 days. The trade is as follows:

Buy NIB 2.18.22 29 Calls@ 1.23

10.25.21 COW is the ETF, exchange traded fund, that trades
livestock. COW made a bottom on 10.22.21. By my calculations,
COW is expected to rise in price until 11.20.21 +/- 2 days.The trade is as follows:Buy COW 12.17.21 36 Calls@ 1.30

CORN is the exchange traded fund that trades
corn. Both the daily and weekly charts indicate that price is
decidedly moving to the upside. The trade is as follows:

Buy CORN 11.19.21 20 Calls

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

10.15.21 Today we have another trade on NIB, the
exchange traded fund that trades in cocoa.

The trade is as follows:
Buy NIB 11.19.21 30 Calls@ 1.45
I calculate that the price of NIB will rise
until 10.26.21 +/- 2 days.

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

10.12.21 Today we have a trade on NIB, the exchange traded
fund that trades cocoa The price of NIB is headed down
and is likely to continue down until 10.19.21.

The trade is as follows:

Buy NIB 11.19.21 puts@ .80

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

10.8.21 Continuing with the rise in gold we have a directional
trade as follows:

Buy GDX 11.26.21 30 calls@ 1.75

I calculate that GDX will continue to rise until 10.25.21

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
10.7.21 Gold has made a bottom and is starting to move up.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell GDX 11.12.21 28.50 puts@ .44
Buy GDX 11.12.21 27.50 puts@ .27

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 75.7%
Risk per Spread $170

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

10.1.21 Increased market volatility combined with a downward price trend are clear signs of market weakness.
For the past four weeks the SPY, the exchange traded fund
for the S&P 500, has closed below both the 5 & 13 week
exponential moving average on a weekly basis.
A general market decline is ahead.

The trade is as follows:

Buy SPY 11.19.21 434 puts@ 11.09

The next turn date for the market is calculated
to be on 10.15.21 +/- 2 days.

9.23.21 Late yesterday we had a trade on the commodity ETF
called MOO as follows:

Sell MOO 10.15.21 90puts@ 1.65
Buy MOO 10.15.21 89puts@ 1.45

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 76.2%
Risk per Spread $80

8.26.21 Sell PINS 9.17.21 53 puts@ .81
Buy PINS 9.17.21 52 put@ .62

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 77.3%
Risk per Spread $81

PINS has made a solid bottom and is likely to
continue to rise in price.

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

8.23.21 Gold ( GDX) has made a bottom at 30.85 on Friday, 8.20.21.
This morning the price has jumped more than 4%. The price is
expected to rise until 10.22.21.
Our trade is as follows:
Sell GDX 9.24.21 30.50 puts@ .50
Buy GDX 9.24.21 29.50 puts@ .30

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 73%
Risk per Spread $80

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
8.11.21 Sell EBAY 8.27.21 63 puts@ .80
Buy EBAY 8.27.21 62 puts@ .63

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 79.7%
Risk per Spread $83

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
8.9.21 Zen has made a bottom and is headed higher. The trade
is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell ZEN 8.20.21 125 puts@ 1.35
Buy ZEN 8.20.21 120 puts@ .57

Credit .78
Potential Profit 18.5%
Probability of Success 71.5%
Risk per Spread $422

8.6.21 Today’s trade is a Bull Put spread on XOM.
The price of XOM is expected to rise until 8.24.21
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XOM 8.20.21 55puts@ .42
buy XOM 8.20.21 54puts@ .26

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 79.2%
Risk per Spread $84

8.5.21 Today we have a Bull Put spread trade on PINS.
PINS is expected to rise in price until 9.5.21. The trade
is as follows:

Sell PINS 8.27.21 55 puts@ .68
Buy PINS 8.27.21 54 puts@ .53

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 82.6%
Risk per Spread $85
8.3.21 We have a Bull Put spread on W today. The price is expected to rise.
The trade is s follows:

Sell W 8.6.21 240 puts@ 8.80
Buy W 8.6.21 235 puts@ 7.00

Credit 1.80
Potential Profit 56.3%
Probability of Success 62%
Risk per Spread $320

7.30.21 Gold is moving up in price and is expected to continue to rise
through September. Our trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell GDX 9.10.21 32.50 puts@ .45
Buy GDX 9.10.21 31.50 puts@ .28

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 78.3%
Risk per Spread $83

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

7.26.21 WBA is rising in price and is expected to rise until 8.19.21

The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell WBA 8.20.21 45 puts@ .52
Buy WBA 8.20.21 44 puts@ .32

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 74.8%
Risk per Spread $ 80

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
7.26.21 Today APA is moving up in price. The move is expected
to continue until 8.26.21. The trade is a Bull Put spread
as follows:

Sell APA 8.20.21 17 puts@ .53
Buy APA 8.20.21 16 puts@ .32

Credit .21
Potential Profit 26.6%
Probability of Success 74%
Risk per Spread $79

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

7.21.21 CCJ is moving up in price. The up move is expected to
continue at least until 8.29.21. The trade is a Bull Put spread
as follows:

Sell CCJ 8.20.21 16 puts@ .54
Buy CCJ 8.20.21 15 puts@ .30

Credit .24
Potential Profit 31.6%
Probability of Success 72.5%
Risk per Spread $76

Good luck,

Halbridge,M.D.

7.20.21 Ford has blasted off today with a 4.74% rise in price.
Our trade is a Bull Put Spread as follows:

Sell F 8.20.21 13 puts@ .34
Buy F 8.20.21 12 puts@ .16

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 71.7%
Risk per Spread $82

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

7.20.21 NVCR is moving up today along with the rest of the
market. We have a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell NVCR 8.20.21 170 puts@ 4.20
Buy NVCR 8.20.21 165 puts@ 3.35

Credit .85
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 76%
Risk per Spread $415

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

7.16.21 Today’s trade is on XPEV. The price of XPEV is rising
and is expected to continue up until 8.3.21.
The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

Sell XPEV 7.30.21 37 puts@ 1.04
Buy XPEV 7.30.21 36 puts@ .75

Credit .29
Potential Profit 40.8%
Probability of Success 69%
Risk per Spread $71

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
7.8.21 Today’s trade is a Bull Put spread on ARWR.
The trade is as follows:

Sell ARWR 8.20.21 60 puts@ 3.43
Buy ARWR 8.20.21 55 puts@ 2.16

Credit 1.27
Potential Profit 34%
Probability of Success 69%
Risk per Spread $373

Good Luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
Here is today’s trade:

6.28.21 CORN is expected to move up until 7.16.21
Today’s trade is a Bull Put spread on CORN
as follows:

Sell CORN 7.16.21 19 puts@ .38
Buy CORN 7.16.21 18 puts@ .20

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 72%
Risk per Spread $78

Good luck,

Halbridge,M.D.

6.24.21 This trade is a Bull Put spread on JO, the ETF for coffee.
The trade is as follows:

Sell JO 7.16.21 41 puts@ .45
Buy JO 7.16.21 40 puts@ .27

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 78%
Risk per Spread $82

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
6.24.21 The trade is a Bull Put spread on WOOD as follows:

Sell WOOD 7.16.21 84 puts@ .90
Buy WOOD 7.16.21 83 puts@ .77

Credit .13
Potential Profit 14.9%
Probability of Success 69.7%
Risk per Spread $87

Halbridge,M.D.
6.22.21 The trade is a Bull Put spread on GDX, the ETF for GDX.
The price of GDX is rising; and it is expected to rise
until 7.9.21.
The trade is as follows:

Sell GDX 7.2.21 34 puts@ .29
Buy GDX 7.2.21 33 puts@ .11

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 72.2%
Risk per Spread $82

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.
6.8.21
Sell QDEL 6.11.21 105puts@ .45
Buy QDEL 6.11.21 100puts@ .28
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 82.7%
Risk per Spread $ 83
This trade is a Bull Put spread.
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.
6.7.21 The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:
Sell KOLD 6.18.21 29 puts@ .71
Buy KOLD 6.18.21 28 puts@ .44
Credit .27
Potential Profit 37%
Probability of Success 68.4%
Risk per Spread $73
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.
6.2.21 The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:
Sell JWN 6.18.21 33 puts@ .61
Buy JWN 6.18.21 32 puts@ .39
Credit .22
Potential Profit 28.2%
Probability of Success 75.8%
Risk per Spread $78
Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.
5.28.21 The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:
Sell SCCO 6.18.21 65 puts@ 1.61
Buy SCCO 6.18.21 60 puts@ .66
Credit .95
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 73%
Risk per Spread $ 405
Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade. Please publish it.

5.25.21 Sell RH 6.11.21 602.5 puts@ 20.21
Buy RH 6.11.21 600 puts@ 19.45

Credit .76
Potential Profit 43.7%
Probability of Success 68%
Risk per Spread $174

Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.
5.24.21 We have a new trade today.
It is a Bull Put spread on SQ as follows:
Sell SQ 6.11.21 195 puts@ 3.85
Buy SQ 6.11.21 192.50 puts@ 3.20
Credit . 65
Potential Profit 40.6%
Probability of Success 72.7%
Risk per Spread $185
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

5.21.21
Two Bull Put spreads as follows:
Sell ABC 6.18.21 115 puts@ 1.30
Buy ABC 6.18.21 110 puts@ .65
Credit .65
Potential Profit 14.9%
Probability of Success 75%
Risk per spread $435

Sell MA 6.18.21 355 puts@4.69
Buy MA 6.18.21 350 puts@3.69
Credit 1.00
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 71%
Risk per Spread $400
Good luck,
Halbridge, M.D.

5.18.21 We have a Bull Put spread on TWTR as follows:
Sell TWTR 6.18.21 50 puts@ 1.20
Buy TWTR 6.18.21 49 puts@ .96
Credit .24
Potential Profit 31.6%
Probability of Success 73%
Risk per spread $ 76
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

5.14.21 Today’s trade is a Bull Put spread on CRM:

Sell CRM 5.28.21 205 put@ 2.52
Buy CRM 5.28.21 202.50 put@ 2.02

Credit .49
Potential Profit 24.4%
Probability of Success 77%
Risk per spread $201

Good luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.
5.11.21 Today we have a Bull Put spread on ZEN
as follows:

Sell ZEN 5.21.21 125 put@ .47
Buy ZEN 5.21.21 120 put@ .20

Credit . 27
Potential Profit 37%
Probability of Success 90.7%
Risk per spread $77

Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

Scorecard updated 5/9/2021

1. Sell NEE 3.19.21 72.50 @ .58
Buy NEE 3.19.21 70.00 @ .25

2. 3.4.21
Buy to close NEE 3.19.21 72.50 puts @ 2.44
Sell to close NEE 3.19.21 70.0 puts@ 2.45

Profit from the NEE trade : +50.7%

3. 3.2.21
Sell EDU 3.19.21 180 puts@ 3.73
Buy EDU 3.19.21 175 puts@ 2.34

3.4.21 Buy to close EDU 3.19.21 180 puts@ 7.50
Sell to close EDU 3.19.21 175 puts@ 4.70

Loss from the EDU trade: – 0.55%

4. 3.8.21
Sell CNC 3.26.21 57 puts@ 1.57
Buy CNC 3.26.21 56 puts@ 1.43

Profit from the CNC trade: + 16.3

5. 3.11.21
Sell KTOS 4.16.21 22.50 puts@ .35
Buy KTOS 4.16.21 20.00 puts@ .10

Profit from the KTOS trade: + 33%
6. 3.15.21
Sell MRK 4.16.21 70 puts@.28
Buy MRK 4.16.21 67.50 puts@ .13

Profit from the MRK trade: 17.6%

7. 4.1.21
Sell QQQ 4.23.21 310 puts@ 2.56
Buy QQQ 4.23.21 309 puts@ 2.39

Profit from the QQQ trade: + 20.5%

8. 4.6.21
Sell TLT 5.7.21 133puts@ .81
Buy TLT 5.7.21 132puts@ .63

Profit from the TLT trade: 22%

9. 4.20.21
Sell SNAP 4.23.21 65 calls@ 1.77
Buy SNAP 4.23.21 66 calls@ 1.57

Profit from the SNAP trade: + 25%

10. 4.22.21
Sell SPLK 5.7.21 129 puts@ 1.46
Buy SPLK 5.7.21 128 puts@ 1.25

4.28.21
Buy to close SPLK 5.7.21 129 puts@ 4.35

5.3.21
Sell to close SPLK 5.7.21 128 puts@ 4.60

Profit on the SPLK trade: + 84.8%

The average gain for the past 12 trades is: 22.4%

Halbridge,M.D.
5.5.21 Today we have a Bull Put spread trade on KOLD as follows:
Sell KOLD 5.21.21 30 puts@ .64
Buy KOLD 5.21.21 29 puts@ .47
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 75.9%
Money at risk per spread $84
Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.

We have a new trade today. It is as follows:
4.28.21
Sell WB 5.21.21 48 puts@ 1.17
Buy WB 5.21.21 47 puts@ .92
Credit .25
Potential Profit 33%
Probability of Success 74.9%
The trade is a Bull Put spread
Good Luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.
Today we have a new trade as follows:
4.26.21
Today’s trade is a Bull Put spread on DAL.
The price of DAL is expected to rise into May.
Sell DAL 5.21.21 43 puts@ .51
Buy DAL 5.21.21 42 puts@ .34
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 80.8%
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

We have a new trade today as follows:
4.22.21 Today we have a Bull Put spread on SPLK.
The stock has made a solid bottom and is expected to rise until 5.5.21.
The trade is as follows:
Sell SPLK 5.7.21 129 puts@ 1.46
Buy SPLK 5.7.21 128 puts@ 1.25
Credit .21
Potential Profit 26.6%
Probability of Success 75.8%
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D
4.20.21 The trade is a Bear Call spread on SNAP.
It is as follows:
Sell SNAP 4.23.21 65 calls@ 1.77
Buy SNAP 4.23.21 66 calls@ 1.57
Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 70.7%
Best regards,
Halbridge,M.D.
Here is today’s trade:
4.16.21
Today we have a Bull Put spread on CNC as follows:
Sell CNC 5.14.21 61.50 puts@ 1.45
Buy CNC 5.14.21 60.50 puts@ 1.23
Credit .22
Potential Profit 28.2%
Probability of Success 71.3%
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.
Halbridge,M.D.
March 21, 2021 Scorecard
Directional Trade
10.23.20 Buy NIB. 12.18.20 29 Calls @ 2.15
11.19.20 Sell 3.26
Profit 51.6%
12.8.20 Buy CNC 1.22.21 6.5 Calls @ 3.75
1.12.21 Sell 4.20
Profit 12%
Credit Spreads
1.5.21 Sell CNC 1.22.21 57 puts @ .47
Buy CNC 1.22.21 56 puts @ .27
Profit 13.6%
2.8.21 Sell KO 2.26.21 47.50 puts @ .43
Buy KO 2.26.21 46.50 puts @ .27
Profit 19%
2.22.21 Sell K 3.19.21 55 puts @. 55
Buy K 3.19.21 52.50 puts @.25
Profit 13.6%
3.1.21 Sell NEE 3.19.21 72.50 puts @ .58
Buy NEE 3.19.21 70.00 puts @ .25.
Initial Profit 15%
Final Profit 23.2%
The NEE Trade went against us as NEE fell in price on 3.4.21 I purchased the 72.50 put I had previously sold at a loss but held on to the 70.00 put I owned. The following day on 3.5.21, I sold the 70.00 put for a profit.
The mathematics worked out as follows:
3.1.21 The NEE credit spread is placed for a .13 profit.
3.4.21 The NEE 3.19.21 72.50 put rises in price and is purchased at 2.44
.58 to 2.44 = – 1.86
3.5.21 The NEE 3.19.21 70.00 put rises in price and is sold at 2.45.
.25 to 2.45 = 2.20
2.2 – 1.86 = .34
. 34 Profit from unwinding the trade.
+ . 13 Profit from the initial credit spread trade on 3.1.21.
= .47 Total profit
.47/2.03 = 23.2% Final Profit
2.03 was derived as follows:
72.50 – 70.00 = 2.50
2.50 – .47 = 2.03 The amount of money at risk/option.

We have a new trade today. It is as follows:
4.14.21
Today’s trade is on NIB, the ETF that trades chocolate. NIB is expected to rise until 5.27.21
The trade is a Bull Put spread.
The trade is as follows:
Sell NIB 5.21.21 29 puts@ .45
Buy NIB 5.21.21 28 puts@ .26
Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 72%
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D
4/12/21
We have a new trade. It is a Bull Put spread
on PING. The stock will very likely rise in price until 6.18.21.

The trade is as follows:
4.12.21
Sell PING 5.21.21 20 puts@ .75
Buy PING 5.21.21 17.50 puts@ .28
Credit .47
Potential Profit 23.2%
Probability of Success 76.7%
Good luck,
Halbridge,M.D.
We have a new trade today 4/9 as follows:
The trade is on the ETF that trades sugar.
Like most commodities it is rising in price. It is a Bull Put spread as follows:
4.9.21
Sell SGG 5.21.21 46put@ 1.70
Buy SGG 5.21.21 45put@ 1.55
Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 68.4%
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.
Today we have a Bull Put Spread on JO, the ETF for coffee, as follows:
Sell JO 5.21.21 35 puts@ 1.02
Buy JO 5.21.21 34 puts@ .67
Credit .35
Potential Profit 53.8%
Probability of Success 76.7%
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

4.6.21 Today we have a Bull Put spread trade on the 20 year bond ETF called TLT:
Sell TLT 5.7.21 133 puts@ .81
Buy TLT 5.7.21 132 puts@ .63
Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 77.8%
Good luck !!
Halbridge, M.D.

Here is today’s trade 4/1:
4.1.21 The trade is a Bull Put spread:
Sell QQQ 4.23.21 310 Puts@ 2.56
Buy QQQ 4.23.21 309 Puts@ 2.39
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 77.9%
Best regards,
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is a trade I made on 3.29.21:
3.29.21 Buy KTOS 5.21.21 27.50 Call@ 3.00
Halbridge,M.D.

3.15.21 A Bull Put Spread
Sell MRK 4.16.21 70.00 puts@ ..28
Buy MRK 4.16.21 67.50 puts@ .13
Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 89%
Thanks,
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 3/11/21, a Bull Put spread:
3.11.21 Sell KTOS 4.16.21 22.50 puts@ .35
Buy KTOS 4.16.21 20..00 puts@ .10
Credit .25
Potential Profit 33%
Probability of Success 86%.
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade:

3.8.21 Sell CNC 3.26.21 57 Puts@ 1.57
Buy CNC 3.26.21 56 Puts@ 1.43

Credit .14
Potential Profit 16.3%
Probability of Success 83%

Thanks,

Halbridge,M.D.

We have another tra
de today 3/2/21 as follows:
3.2.21 This trade is a Bull Put Spread—
Sell EDU 3.19.21 180 puts@ 3.73
Buy EDU 3.19.21 175 puts@ 2.34
Credit 1.39
Potential Profit 38.5%
Annualized Profit 826%
Probability of Success 69.7%
Good luck !!
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade March 1, 2021:
The trade is a Bull Put Spread on NEE
3.1.21 Sell NEE 3.19.21 72.50 put @ .58
Buy NEE 3.19.21 70.00 put @ . 25
Credit .33
Potential Profit 15.2%
Annualized Profit 308.2%
Probability of Success 79.4%
Making 15.2% on your money in 18 days is
equivalent to earning 308.2% in 365 days.
Good luck !!
Best regards,
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 2/22/2021, a Bull Put Spread:

Buy K 3.19.21 55 puts@ .55
Sell K 3.19.21 52.5 puts@ .25

Credit .30
Potential profit 13.6%
Probability of Success 82%

Thanks,
Halbridge,M.D.

Here are the trades for 2/8/21:
2.8.21
Sell KO 2.26.21 47.5 put@ .43
Buy KO 2.26.21 46.5 put@ .27
Credit .16
Potential profit 17.6%
Probability of success 67.7%
2.8.21
Buy
KO 4.16.21 50 call@ 1.67
I expect KO to peak in price on 2.26.21
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 1/5/2021:
Sell CNC 1.22.21 57 puts@ .47
Buy CNC 1.22.21 56 puts@ .35
Credit .12
Potential profit 13.6 % in 17 days
Probability of success 82.5%
Best regards,
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 12/17/2020:
Buy BKI 2.19.21 90 Calls@ 5.20
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade:
Buy CNC 1.22.21 65 Calls@ 3.75
Best regards,
Halbridge, M.D.

11.27.20
On 11.5.20 I recommended the following:
Buy PYPL 12.24.20 200 Calls@ 11.85
Today I recommend that you sell the PYPL option at 15.75 for a profit of 32.9%.
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is an update of the Score Board Nov 22, 2020!
Score Board
8.25.20 Sell BAC 9.25.20 24 puts@ .39
Buy BAC 9.25.20 23 puts@ .22
Profit 20.5%
8.28.20 Sell MU 9.18.20 42 puts@ .61
Buy MU 9.18.20 41.5 puts@ .51
Profit 25.6%
10.8.20 Bought JO 11.20.20 33 calls@ 1.00
11.17.20 Sold JO 11.20.20 33 calls@ 2.20
Profit 120%
10.23.20 Bought NIB 12.18.20 29 calls@ 2.15
11.19.20 Sold NIB 12.18.20 29 calls@ 3.26
Profit 51.6%
11.4.20 Bought DIA 12.18.20 280 calls@ 9.35
Sold DIA 12.18.20 280 calls@ 16.00
Profit 71.1%
The timing mathematics have resulted in the profitable
trades listed above. There will be more to come!
Halbridge,M.D.

11.5.20 Buy PYPL 12.24.20 200 Calls@ 11.85
I expect that PYPL will increase in price until 11.18.20
Thank you,
Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade:
11.4.20 Buy DIA 12.18.20 280 Calls@ 9.35
Best regards,
Halbridge,M.D.

We have a new trade 10/23/2020:

10.23.20 Buy NIB 12.18.20 29 Calls@ 2.15

Here is a trade we made yesterday:
10.8.20 Buy JO 33 11.20.20 Calls@ 1.00
JO the ETF for coffee has made a bottom and is very likely
to increase in price. The top for this current move up should continue
until 10.26.20, plus or minus two days.
Best regards,
Bruce L. Halbridge,M.D.

8/28/2020 Here is today’s trade. It is a Bull Put spread.
The trade is as follows:

8.28.20 Sell MU 9.18.20 42 puts@ .61
Buy MU 9.18.20 41.5 puts@ .51

Credit .10
Potential Profit 25.6%
Probability of Success 82.7%

Thanks,

Halbridge,M.D.

We have a new trade as follows for 8/25/2020:

8.25.20 Sell BAC 9.25.20 24 puts@ .39
Buy BAC 9.25.20 23 puts@ .22

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 76.2%

Thanks,

Halbridge,M.D.

We have another trade today as follows 8/21/2020:

8.21.20 Sell TME 9.18.20 14 puts@ .30
Buy TME 9.18.20 13 puts@ .13

Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 72.5%

Thanks !!

Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 8/18/2020:

The trade is a Bull Put spread as follows:

8.18.20 Sell TLT 9.4.20 162 puts@ 1.12
Buy TLT 9.4.20 161 puts@ .88

Credit .24
Potential Profit 31.6%
Probability of Success 69.9%

Good luck !!!

Halbridge,M.D.

8/13/20 – We have another trade on JO, the ETF for coffee:

8.13.20 Sell JO 8.21.20 34 puts@ .53
Buy JO 8.21.20 33 puts@ .28

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 79.6%

I expect that JO will reach a high price on 8.21.20,
plus or minus 2 days.

Thank you,

Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 8/10/20:

Sell XOP 9.4.20 50 puts@ .88
Buy XOP 9.4.20 49 puts@ .69

Credit .19
Potential profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 80.6%

Thanks,

Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 8/5/2020:

Sell AAL 9.4.20 10 puts@ .47
Buy AAL 9.4.20 9 puts@ .28

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 76.7 %

Regards,

Halbridge,M.D.

We have another winner; the DIA trade expired on 7.31.20.
Here are the numbers:

Trade date: 7.15.20 Sell DIA 7.31.20 257 puts@ 2.77
Buy DIA 7.31.20 256 puts@ 2.59

Credit .18
Profit 22% in 16 days.

Thanks !!!!

Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade 7/31/2020:

Sell GDX 8.14.20 44 Calls@ .71
Buy GDX 8.14.20 45 Calls@ .51

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 69.8%

Thanks so much !!!

Halbridge,M.D.

Look at the results of the 5.14.20 trade!!!

5.14.20

Sell DIA 5.29.20 248 Call@ .93
Buy DIA 5.29.20 249 Call@ .78

Profit 364%

.93 went to 4.65
.78 went to 6.82

3.10/ .85= 364%

Thank you !!

Here is today’s trade 7/15/2020:

Sell DIA 7.31.20 257 puts@ 2.77
Buy DIA 7.31.20 256 puts@ 2.59

Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 75%

Best regards,

Halbridge,M.D.

Here is today’s trade June 29, 2020:

Sell JO 8.21.20 28 puts@ .42
Buy JO 8.21.20 27 puts@ .27

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 71%

Good Luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

June 5th Trade Recommendation for those who wish to carry more risk
for more reward:

Buy GDX 9.18.20 32 puts@ 2.77

Good Luck !!

Halbridge,M.D.

We have a new trade today May 14, 2020:
This is a Bear Call Spread- The market is very likely headed lower.

Sell DIA 5.29.20 248 Calls@ .93
Buy DIA 5.29.20 249 Calls@ .78

Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 84.5%

Trade Results April 19, 2020
this week as follows:

3.25.70 Sell XOP 4.30.20 7.50 puts@ .30
Buy XOP 4.30.20 6.50 puts@ .14

Profit + 19%

3.26.20 Sell SLB 4.17.20 13.00 puts@ 1.05
Buy SLB 4.17.20 12.00 puts@ .80

Loss – 79%

3.26.20 Sell PFE 4.17.20 28.50 puts@ .64
Buy PFE 4.17.20 27.50 puts@ .45

Profit + 23.5%

4.6.20 Sell SLB 4.17.20 13.00 puts@ .41
Buy SLB 4.17.20 12.00 puts@ .25

Profit + 19%

Anatomy of a Loss

None likes a losing trade. Losing trades are a part of
trading; every trader will encounter some losing trades. Even the great traders like
Jesse Livermore and W.D. Gann had losing trades.
Losing trades do not have to be crippling of fatal events.
The best way to plan for losing trades is by employing money management before
any trade is placed. Money management puts at risk a measured amount of trading
capital for each trade.
I risk no more than 2.5% of my trading capital for each trade.
Since my average trade last 15 days or less, the money can be
redeployed into another trade, twice a month or 26 times a year. The compounding
effect is very powerful.
The first SLB trade placed on 3.26.20 resulted in a 79% loss.
Here are the numbers on that trade:

79% of 2.5% = 1.975% of capital lost
If $100 was risked, then $98.02 remained.

You would have to make a little over 2% on the
next trade to break even:
$ 98.02 x 1.0205% = $100.02

Nobody likes losing trades losing trades.
Every trader will have some losing trades if they continue
to trade. How you divide your trading money and deploy the
funds makes all the difference; it will determine whether or
not you will be a successful trader over time.

We have another trade today 4/7/2020:

Sell TLT 4.24.20 170 Calls@ 1.24
Buy TLT 4.24.20 171 Calls@ 1.08

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 74.2%

Here is the trade for 4/6/2020:

Sell SLB 4.17.20 13.00 puts@ .41
Buy SLB 4.17.20 12:00 puts@ .25

Credit .16
Potential profit 19%
Probability of Success 77.2%

We have another trade today 3/26:

Sell PFE 4.17.20 28.5 puts@ .64
Buy PFE 4.17.20 27.5 puts@ .45

Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.4%
Probability of Success 77.3%

We have another trade 3/26:

Sell SLB 4.17.20 13 puts@ 1.00 Buy SLB 4.17.20 12 puts@ .75

Credit .25 Potential Profit 33.3% Probability of Success 74.2%

Here is the trade I made this morning 3/25:

Sell XOP 4.3.20 7.5 puts@ .30
Buy XOP 4.3.20 6.5 puts@ .14

Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 79.5%

March 17 Trade Recommendation:

Sell AAL 3.27.20 13 puts@ 1.05
Buy AAL 3.27.20 12 puts@ .85

Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 79.1%

Here are the results of my latest trades:

3.17.20 Sell AAL 3.27.20 13.00 puts@ 1.13
3.17.20 Buy AAL 3.27.20 12.00 puts@ .95 .18 Profit

3.18.20 Buy AAL 3.27.20 13.00 puts@ 2.50
3.18.20 Sell AAL 3.27.20 12.00 puts@ 2.52 .02 Profit

Total profit .20
Percentage profit 24.3%

Here is the math showing how the profit was calculated:
each
On the 3.17.20 trade, the cost basis was .82
because the profit of .18 meant that I only had to put up
82 dollars instead of 100 dollars for each AAL option spread
I created.

100 minus 18 equals 82 or .82 per unit of stock
One option controls 100 shares of stock
The profit divided by the cost basis equals the percentage profit

.18/ .82 = 24.3%

The AAL trade turned against me. Buy purchasing the AAL 13.00
option I sold, I limited the loss. Then selling the 12.00 option I owned only one hour later,
the trade lasting one day produced a profit.

Credit spreads are unique in that even when the trade turns against you
you still have the opportunity to make a profit.

Bruce L. Halbridge,M.D.

Despite all the losses on Wall Street this past week,
we posted another profit.
Here is how it played out:

Date of trade: 2.21.20 Sell DIA 3.6.20 296 Calls@ 1.14
Buy DIA 3.6.20 297 Calls@ .89

Credit .25
Profit 33%

On 3.6.20 the 296 Calls we sold expired worthless.
As the market declined our profit was locked in.
One of the things that has enabled me to be consistently
successful in trading the credit spreads is the timing mathematics that
I have developed during the past seven years. The calculations show
that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is very likely to make a bottom
on 3.22.20. The mathematics can also be applied to individual stocks;
it provides a competitive edge in trading.

Here is the latest trade result as of Feb 29, 2020:

The Big Week————

The stock market took a big hit this past week; the loss
was just under 3600 points, a 12% loss.
We made a profit of 25.5% on the XOP trade despite the
fact that the trade went against us when the price of oil dropped
in concert with the market. Here are how the numbers played out:

The initial Bull Put spread was as follows:

2.19.20 Sell XOP 3.6.20 18.50 put @ .26
Buy XOP 3.6.20 17.50 put @ .08
Credit .18

2.24.20 Buy XOP 3.6.20 18.50 put @ 1.10
2.25.20 Sell XOP 3.6.20 17.50 put @ 1.13
Credit .03

Total credit .21
Final profit 25.5%

When the the price of the option we sold on
2.19.20 went below 18.50, I purchased the option for a
temporary loss. The next day, on 2.25.20 the 17.50 option
I owned was sold for a profit. The total profit was 25.5%
The beauty of trading credit spreads is that
when the trade goes against you, you can unwind the
spread and still make a profit as long as price continues to drop.
Since October, 2019 there have been five trades the
went against me. Of those five, a profit was made on four of them
using the strategy outlined above.
Credit spreads make sense because because they
have a high success rate and are risk averse.
Since October, 2019 I have made and completed
23 credit spreads; 22 resulted in a profit. The success rate stands
at 95.7%.
In future commentaries I will describe my mathematics
and the timing process that I use in setting up the trades.Yes, it is
possible to time the market and individual stocks.

March 4, 2020 Update – How is the profit on a credit spread calculated ??

Let’s look at the most recent XOP trade—-
On 2.19.20 we made the following trade:

Sell XOP 3.6.20 18.50 put@ .26
Buy XOP 3.6.20 17.50 put@ .08

The credit was .18
The difference between the options
was: 18.50 minus 17.50 equals 1.00 or $ 100.
Since we earned a profit of .18 or $ 18, the amount
of money we had at risk was $ 100 minus $ 18 or $ 82.
Next, we divide our $ 18 profit by $ 82 to give us a potential
profit of 21.95 %.
On 2.24.20 purchased the XOP 3.6.20
18.50 option for 1.10 ; and on 2.25.20 we sold the XOP 3.6.20
17.50 option for 1.13 resulting in a net profit of .03.
The resulting .03 profit added to the original .18 profit
gave us a profit of .21. The .21 was then divided by the
original .82 cost basis to give us a final profit of 25.6%
The profit made during the past week
of historic market losses allows our equity curve to con-
tinue upward.

Here is the second trade for the week. Today is 2/21/2020
Sell DIA 3.6.20 296 Calls@ 1.14
Buy DIA 3.6.20 297 Calls@ .89
Credit .25
Potential Profit 33.3%
Probability of Success 76.5%

On Friday, Feb. 14, 2020 another trade
was closed out for a win. It was as follows:

The XLE Bull Put Spread placed on 2.4.20
closed with a profit of 25% on 2.14.20. A 25% profit in 10 days is
equivalent to a 912.5% profit in a full year.

Here is today’s trade 2/19/2020:
Sell XOP 3.6.20 18.50 puts@ .26
Buy XOP 3.6.20 17.50 puts@ .08
Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 70.2%

Here is the data regarding the trade closed on CSTM:

Date of Trade 1/28/2020

Profit + 10.8%

Commentary: The price of CSTM started to to rise causing a temporary loss. I purchased the 12.00 option I sold and held on to the 11.00 option I purchased on the day the day was made. The option I owned increased in price and I ended the trade on 2.3.20 for a 10.8% profit.

The whole trade lasted only six days, from 1.28.20 to 2.3.20. The modest 10.8% profit over six days is equivalent to a yearly profit of 657%. The money can be reinvested the next week resulting in increasing cumulative profit; this is the power of compounding. Albert Einstein said that the power of com-pounding was one of the wonders of the universe.
Best regards,
Halbridge,M.D.

Feb 4, 2020 Trade Recommendation
Sell XLE 2.14.20 52.50 puts@ .42
Buy XLE 2.14.20 51.50 puts@ .22
Credit .20
Potential profit 25%
Probability of Success 70%

Despite the large market drop on Friday, we have another winning trade!!!!
Date of the trade 1.13.20
Profit/Loss ADM Bull Put Spread + 25%

FREE TRADE TIP 1/28/2020
Sell CSTM 2.7.20 12.00 puts@ .22
Buy CSTM 2.7.20 11.00 puts@ .05
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 62.3%

Here are the results for the trades closed for the week of 1.20.20:
Date of Trade Trade Profit/Loss
12.19.19 GDX Bull Put Spread + 16.3%
1.7.20 X Bull Put Spread – 28%
1.14.20 YETI Bull Put Spread + 23.5%

Since 10.7.19 there have been a total of 19 trades each trade lasting an average of 15 days and earning an average of 15.35% over the past 14 weeks.This performance continued for a full year will result in a 57% profit.

Here are the results of the trades that ended on 1.17.20:
Date of Trade Profit/Loss
12.26.19 SUI Bull Put Spread + 15.5%
12.26.19 BOIL Bull Put Spread + 10 %
12.20.19 AEO Bull Put Spread + 25%
1.2.20 GS Bull Put Spread + 23.2%
1.13.20 PKG Bull Put Spread + 5.9%

The cumulative profit for these trades is 15.9%. The trades each averaged 16 days in duration. Earning 15.9% on your money in just 16 days is equivalent to earning 358% in one year.

The compounding effect of consistently winning conservative credit spread trades has the ability to grow a small account and/or provide monthly income regardless of whether the market is going up, down, or sideways.

Trade Recommendation 1/14/2020 – Sell YETI 1.24.20 31.00 puts@ .50
Buy YETI 1.24.20 30.00 puts@ .30
Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 71.6%

Here is today’s trade 1/13/2020:
Sell ADM 1.31.20 43 puts@ .48
Buy ADM 1.31.20 42 puts@ .28
Credit .20
Potential Profit 25%
Probability of Success 71%

Trade recommendation 1/13/2020
Sell PKG 1.17.20 105 puts@ .43
Buy PKG 1.17.20 100 puts@ .15
Credit .28
Potential Profit 6.6 %
Probability of Success 76.6%

Here is today’s trade 1/7/2020:
Sell X 1.24.20 10.50 puts@ .27
Buy X 1.24.20 9.50 puts@ .08
Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 68%

Trade Date:
1/2/2020
Sell GS 1.17.20 227.5 puts@ 1.78
Buy GS 1.17.20 225 puts@ 1.31
Credit .47
Potential Profit 23.2%
Probability of Success 73.3%

Here are the latest trade recommendations:

12/30/2019
Sell AEO 1.17.20 puts@ .35
Buy AEO 1.17.20 puts@ .15
Credit .20
Potential Profit .25%
Probability of Success 70%

Trade Date:
12/26/2019
Sell BOIL 1.17.20 8 puts@ .37
Buy BOIL 1.17.20 7 puts@ .10
Credit .27
Potential Profit 37%
Probability of Success 71%

Here are the latest trade results as of 12/23/19:
Trade Date:
11.22.19
Sell EMN 12.20.19 75 @ 1.27
Buy EMN 12.20.19 72.50 @ .70
Credit .57
Profit 29.5%
11.25.19 Sell CNX 12.20.19 6.00 @ .21
Buy CNX 12.20.19 5.00 @ .06
Credit .15
Profit 17.6%

Here is today’s trade:
Sell GDX 1.24.20 26 puts@ .21
Buy GDX 1.24.20 25 puts@ .07
Credit .14
Potential Profit 16.2%
Probability of Success 79.89%

Here is today’s trade 12/19/2019:
Sell GDX 1.24.20 26 puts@ .21
Buy GDX 1.24.20 25 puts@ .07
Credit .14
Potential Profit 16.2%
Probability of Success 79.89%

Here is the scorecard for the period from 10.7.19 to 11.29.19:
10.7.19 DIA 10.18.19 Bull Put Spread + 22%
10.14.19 MU 11.1.19 " " " + 19%
10.15.19 XOM 11.8.19 " " " + 22%
10.17.19 DAL 11.22.19 " " " + 17.6%
10.25.19 WLL 11.8.19 " " " +19%
10.30.19 SCHW 11.15.19 Bear Call Spread + 2.4%
11.6. 19 CSCO 11.15.19 Bull Put Spread +12%
11.12.19 FSLR 11.22.19 " " " + 20.5%
11.18.19 M 11.29.19 " " " +19%
-The percentage of successful trades 100%
-The average profit per trade was 17%
-The average time in the trade was 12.5 days.
-There were two trades that went against me that included SCHW and CSCO. The trades were unwound as described in previous posts; both trades resulted in a profit.
***My proprietary mathematics is now being used to calculate the time left in a trending stock in order to locate entries and exits.

Here is another recent past winning trade:
Trade placed on 11.12.19
Trade closed on 11.22.19
Sell FSLR 11.22.19 51 puts@ .43
Buy FSLR 11.22.19 50 puts@ .26
Credit .17
Profit 20.5% in 10 days
Annualized Profit 746.2%
Credit spreads provide trading consistently; with more than 80% of the trades being winners, we can be successful. Thumbs Up !!!

More Successful Past Trades!
Trade Recommendation Date 10.17.19
Sell DAL 11.22.19 50 puts@ .55
Buy DAL 11.22.19 49 puts@ .40
Credit .15
Trade Date 11.25.19
The DAL trade was closed today for a profit of 17.6% in 36 days. This equals an annualized profit of 178.4% !!!!

11.25.19
Sell CNX 12.20.19 7 puts@ .21
Buy CNX 12.20.19 6 puts@ .06
Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.6%
Probability of Success 76.7%

11/22/2019 – Sell EMN 12.20.19 75 puts@ 1.27
Buy EMN 12.20.19 72.50 puts@ .70
Credit .57
Potential Profit 29.5%
Probability of Success 71.3%

Trade Recommendation 11/18/2019 – Sell M 11.29.19 14.5 puts@ .30
Buy M 11.29.19 13.5 puts@ .14
Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 81.6%

We had a new trade this morning as follows:
The price of the CSCO stock fell below 46.00, placing us at risk for having the 46 puts we sold on 11.6.19 being exercised; that is we would have to purchase the stock. To avoid this problem, we purchased the 46.00 puts we sold.

The math worked out as follows:
11.6.19 Sold CSCO 11.15.19 46 puts@ .44
Bought CSCO 11.15.19 45 puts@ .27
Credit .17
Potential profit 20.5%
11.15.19 Purchased CSCO 11.15.19 46 puts@ .53
Loss .09
Credit .17 minus loss of .09 leaves us with a profit of .09
Our final profit for the two trades is 8.7%.

This trade that went against us in the last two days in the life of the option still resulted in a profit of 8.7% over a 9 day period. This is equivalent to an annualized profit of 352.8%.
The initial profit earned when the credit spread was placed provided us with a margin of safety that resulted in a profit even when the trade went against us. Trading credit spreads has historically an 80% success rate; this is far higher than the 40% success rate associated with trading naked options. We love credit spreads !!

WINNING!

Trade made on 10.15.19
Sell XOM 11.8.19 67 puts@ .70
Buy XOM 11.8.19 66 puts@ .52
Credit .18
Profit 22% in 24 days
Annualized profit 335%

Trade made on 10.25.19
Sell WLL 11.8.19 6 puts@ .25
Buy WLL 11.8.19 5 puts@ .09
Credit .16
Profit 19% in 14 days
Annualized profit 495%
The above listed trades were both closed out for a profit !!
Money never sleeps !!

11/12/2019 Recommendation – Buy FSLR 11.21.19 50 puts@. 26
Sell FSLR 11.22.19 51 puts@ .43
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability Of Success 74.6%

11/6/2019 Trade Recommendation – Sell CSCO 11.15.19. 46 puts@ .44
Buy CSCO 11.15.19 45 puts@ .27
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 77.1%

Here is the recent trading action for the past two days, PLUS LESSONS LEARNED!

On 10.30.19 we made the following trade:
Sell SCHW 11.15.19 42 Calls@ .32
Buy SCHW 11.15.19 43 Calls@ .15
The credit was .17 for a potential profit of 20.5%

On 11.4.19 the trade went against us with the price of the stock rising above the strike price of 42. I bought back the SCHW 42 calls at .96 for a loss of .64 ;this equals a 77% loss.

However, I still owned the SCHW 43 calls that continued to rise in value. Today I sold the SCHW 43 calls for .81. The final profit for all three trades was 22.9%.

The most important lesson to be learned from the trade is that when trading a credit spread, you can unwind the trade as I did above; and the profit potential is still there even when the direction of price goes against you. My largest profits have been made on trades that went against me.

TRADE WIN! The 10.14.19 trade on MU was as follows:
-Sell MU 11.1.19 42 puts@ .51
-Buy MU 11.1.19 41 puts@ .35
-Credit .16
*The options expired today on 11.1.19 giving us a profit of 19% in only 18 days. This is equivalent to an annualized yield of 385%.
Thumbs Up !!!

10/30/2019 Sell SCHW 11.15.19 42 Calls@ .35
Buy SCHW 11.15.19 43 Calls@ .15
Credit .17
Potential Profit 20.5%
Probability of Success 72.3%

NEW TRADE TIP OCT 25, 2019
Sell WLL 11.8.19 6 puts@ .25
Buy WLL 11.8.19 5 puts@ .09
Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 77.9%

Below is the data on the latest successful trade:
**On 10.7.19 The following trade was made:
-Sell DIA 10.18.19 260 puts@ 1.30
-Buy DIA 10.18.19 259 puts@ 1.12
-Both options expired worthless on 10.21.19 giving us a profit of 22% in a period of 14 days; equivalent to a yearly profit of 573%!!!
-Subscribe to our newsletter today to maximize your potential: https://www.optiontraderexpress.com/
-Free trades closing by end of 2019. Join today if you like our trades and have success!

Here is today’s trade:
Sell DAL 11.22.19 50 puts@ .55
Buy DAL 11.22.19 49 puts@ .40
Credit .15
Potential Profit 17.64%
Probability of Success 79%

Here is today’s trade:
Sell XOM 11.8.19 67puts@.70
Buy XOM 11.8.19 66puts@.52
Credit .18
Potential Profit 22%
Probability of Success 74%

Here is today’s trade:
Sell MU 11.1.19 42 puts@ .50
Buy MU 11.1.19 41 puts@ .34
Credit .16
Potential Profit 19%
Probability of Success 78.8%
Expect MU to make its next high on 11.7.19

NEW TRADE 10/7 – Sell DIA 10.18.19 260 put @ 1.31
Buy DIA 10.18.19 259 put @ 1.12
Credit .19
Potential Profit 23.5%
Probability of Success 74.6%

The last posting calculated that the low on the DIA, the Dow Jones Industrial average, would be on 10.3.19. The actual low day for the down move that started on 9.13.19 was on 10.2.19; the lowest low price occurred on 10.3.19, the day of the price reversal. Expect the new up move on the DIA to end on 11.11.19.

Option Trader Express will provide a new service to subscribers.The future dates of stock turning points will be published well in advance of the change in price trend.

Below are listed the stocks and an ETF with their projected high or low date.

DIA Low on 10.3.19
High on 11.11.19

TLT High on 10.3.19
Low on 11.7.19

GDX High 10.8.19

XOM Low on 10.21.19

MO High on 3.28.20

Thanks,
Halbridge,M.D.

XLP  is expected to make its high price during the week of 12.20.19. 
XLP is the ETF, exchange traded fund, for consumer goods. This makes it highly likely that the broader market will continue to rise for the rest of the year.

Let’s take a look at real trades that were completed recently

Trade Updates: Month of July:

Bought WDC 10.18.19 40.00 calls@ 4.57
Sold WDC 10.18.19 40.00 calls@ 10.65
Profit 133%

Buy UAL 09.20.19 90.00 calls@ 5.05

Buy JPM 09.20.19 110.00 calls@ 5.95

Buy XOP 09.20.19 26.00 calls@ 2.17

Buy WDC 10.18.19 40.00 calls@ 4.57

Buy COP 11.15.19 60.00 calls@ 4.42

Buy GDX 4.26.19 21.00 calls@ 1.37
Sell GDX 8.16.19 21.00 calls@ 1.85
Profit 35%

Buy DIA 9.30.19 250 calls@ 9.55

Buy 4.15.19 AAL 8.16.19 34 puts@ 2.65
Sell 5.21.19 AAL 8.16.19 34 puts@ 3.60
Profit before commission 35.8%
Profit after commission 35.66%

Buy M 8.16.19 24 calls@ 2.54
Sell M 3.28.19 calls@ 3.34
Profit 31.5%

Buy M 6.21.19 26 calls@ 1.90
Sell M 4.2.19 calls@ 2.35
Profit 24.2%

Buy M 4.18.19 23 puts@ .35
Sell M 4.18.19 22 puts@ .17
Profit 22%

Buy AAL 4.12.19 30 puts@ .48
Sell AAL 4.12.19 29 puts@ .26
Profit 28.2%

Sell X 4.5.19 19 puts@ .23
Buy X 4.5.18 puts@ .10
Profit 14.9%

Buy WMT 4.5.19 97.50 calls@ 4.05
Sell WMT 4.11.19@ 4.90
Profit 19.2%

Buy MGM 6.21.19 26 calls@ 1.90
Sell MGM 4.2.19@ 2.35
Profit 24.2%

4.5.19
Buy M 8.16.19 24 calls@ 2.54
Sell M 3.28.19@ 3.34
Profit 31.5%

Sell KO 3.29.19 44 puts@ .32
Buy KO 3.29.19 43 puts@ .15
Potential Profit 20.5%

Sell M 4.18.19 23 puts@ .35
Buy M 4.18.19 22 puts@ .17
Potential Profit 22.9%

Sell AAL 4.12.19 30 puts@ .48
Buy AAL 4.12.19 29 puts@ .27
Potential Profit 28.2%

2.28.19
Sell X 4.5.19 19 puts@ .23
Buy X 4.5.19 18 puts@ .10
Potential Profit 14.9%

1.25.19
Sell TXN 2.15.19 95 puts@ .95
Buy TXN 2.15.19 94 puts@ .78
Potential Profit 20.5%

Sell XLK 1.25.19 58 puts@ .63
Buy XLK 1.25.19 56.50 puts@ .41
Potential Profit 17.2%

Sell XOM 1.18.19 66 puts@ .74
Buy XOM 1.18.19 65 puts@ .55
Potential Profit 23.5%

12.21.18
Sell XLP 12.21.18 54 puts@3.10
Buy XLP 10.11.18 54 puts@ 2.12 
Potential Profit 46.2%

11.16.18
Sell AAPL 12.7.18 187.50 puts@ 2.86
Buy AAPL 12.7.18 185.50 puts@ 2.26
Potential Profit 65%

10.31.18
Sell XLI 11.30.18 68 puts@ .94
Buy XLI 11.30.18 67 puts@ .74
Potential Profit 25%

11.1.18
Sell X 11.30.18 25 puts@ .92
Buy X 11.30.18 24 puts@ .66
Profit 6.8%